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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Castelfidardo Calcio v Chieti: numbers & prediction

Serie D Girone F · Italy · Nuovo Stadio Comunale G.Mancini

Castelfidardo Calcio

WLWL
1–0
FT

Chieti

DLWL
Castelfidardo Calcio 41%Draw 25%Chieti 34% Expected goals 1.43 – 1.30
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultCastelfidardo Calcio to win ✓41% · @2.29
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · fair 1.34
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.53

Castelfidardo Calcio vs Chieti: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Castelfidardo Calcio welcome Chieti to Nuovo Stadio Comunale G.Mancini for a Serie D Girone F fixture on Sunday 22 March (14:30 WAT).

Current form

Castelfidardo Calcio, last 4: WLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Recanatese, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Chieti, last 4: DLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Victor San Marino, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Castelfidardo Calcio, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Chieti.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Castelfidardo Calcio 1.4 xG, Chieti 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Castelfidardo Calcio 41%, draw 25%, Chieti 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.77.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Castelfidardo Calcio 1–1 Chieti. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Castelfidardo Calcio41%fair 2.44 · @2.29
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.25
Chieti34%fair 2.97 · @2.85
2.74Expected goals
1.43Castelfidardo Calcio xG
1.30Chieti xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: Castelfidardo Calcio 1.4 – 1.3 Chieti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCastelfidardo Calcio to win ✓41%2.442.29
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.34–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.721.77
Draw no betCastelfidardo Calcio (draw no bet) ✓55%1.82–
Asian handicapChieti +1 (Asian handicap)76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73%1.371.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.981.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.401.27
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.171.09
First team to scoreCastelfidardo Calcio to score first ✓49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT Castelfidardo Calcio / FT Castelfidardo Calcio ✓24%4.25–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.53–

Recent results

Castelfidardo Calcio – last 4

WLWL
15 Marvs Recanatese2–1W
1 Mar@ Ostia Mare1–2L
22 Febvs Victor San Marino3–2W
15 Feb@ Atletico Ascoli1–3L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Chieti – last 4

DLWL
15 Marvs Victor San Marino1–1D
1 Mar@ Atletico Ascoli1–3L
22 Febvs Termoli Calcio1–0W
15 Feb@ Ancona1–4L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Castelfidardo Calcio and Chieti.

Castelfidardo Calcio vs Chieti head-to-head page →

More Serie D Girone F predictions

League hub
FT Recanatese0 Real Giulianova0 131%2.90X25%3.25244%2.15 1.2–1.4xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 54%@1.67 ✓
FT Atletico Ascoli2 Maceratese0 158%1.60X24%3.75218%4.50 1.7–0.9xG 1Atletico Ascoli to win 58%@1.60 ✓
FT L'Aquila1 Teramo3 138%2.65X24%3.15238%2.48 1.7–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.28 ✓
FT Notaresco4 Sammaurese0 158%1.53X24%3.60218%5.25 1.7–0.9xG 1Notaresco to win 58%@1.53 ✓
FT Ostia Mare1 Unipomezia0 150%1.53X23%3.90228%5.43 1.5–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.23 ✗
FT Termoli Calcio0 Fossombrone0 138%2.46X29%2.95233%2.80 1.1–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.22 ✓
FT Ancona1 Sora1 165%1.33X22%4.33213%7.50 1.9–0.8xG 1Ancona to win 65%@1.33 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Castelfidardo Calcio vs Chieti?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Castelfidardo Calcio vs Chieti?

On our numbers Castelfidardo Calcio have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Chieti 34%.

How many goals will there be in Castelfidardo Calcio vs Chieti?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Castelfidardo Calcio vs Chieti?

Our predicted score is Castelfidardo Calcio 1–1 Chieti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Castelfidardo Calcio vs Chieti?

Castelfidardo Calcio vs Chieti (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Nuovo Stadio Comunale G.Mancini.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.