Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.57
Notaresco vs Sammaurese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 22 March the Serie D Girone F brings Notaresco against Sammaurese at Stadio Comunale Vincenzo Savini. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT.
Current form
Notaresco, last 4: WDLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Sora, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Sammaurese, last 4: LWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Fossombrone, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Notaresco 1.7 xG, Sammaurese 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 45%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Notaresco 58%, draw 24%, Sammaurese 18%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Notaresco to win (58%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Notaresco 1–0 Sammaurese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Notaresco58%fair 1.73 · @1.53
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.60
Sammaurese18%fair 5.44 · @5.25
2.53Expected goals
1.66Notaresco xG
0.87Sammaurese xG
45%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Notaresco 1.7 – 0.9 Sammaurese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Notaresco to win✓
58%
1.73
1.53
Double chance
Notaresco or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
–
Draw no bet
Notaresco (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Sammaurese +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Notaresco to score first✓
60%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Notaresco / FT Notaresco✓
34%
2.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.57
–
Recent results
Notaresco – last 4
WDLD
15 Mar
@ Sora
3–0
W
1 Mar
vs Fossombrone
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Maceratese
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Vigor Senigallia
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sammaurese – last 4
LWLD
15 Mar
@ Fossombrone
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Teramo
3–1
W
22 Feb
@ Vigor Senigallia
1–3
L
15 Feb
vs Sora
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Notaresco and Sammaurese.
What is the prediction for Notaresco vs Sammaurese?
Our pick is Notaresco to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Notaresco vs Sammaurese?
On our numbers Notaresco have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sammaurese 18%.
How many goals will there be in Notaresco vs Sammaurese?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Notaresco vs Sammaurese?
Our predicted score is Notaresco 1–0 Sammaurese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Notaresco vs Sammaurese?
Notaresco vs Sammaurese (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Vincenzo Savini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.