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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Notaresco v Sammaurese: numbers & prediction

Serie D Girone F · Italy · Stadio Comunale Vincenzo Savini
4–0
FT
Notaresco 58%Draw 24%Sammaurese 18% Expected goals 1.66 – 0.87
58%
Betarazi pick

Notaresco to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.73 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultNotaresco to win ✓58% · @1.53
Double chanceNotaresco or draw ✓82% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.57

Notaresco vs Sammaurese: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 22 March the Serie D Girone F brings Notaresco against Sammaurese at Stadio Comunale Vincenzo Savini. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT.

Current form

Notaresco, last 4: WDLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Sora, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Sammaurese, last 4: LWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Fossombrone, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Notaresco 1.7 xG, Sammaurese 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 45%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Notaresco 58%, draw 24%, Sammaurese 18%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Notaresco to win (58%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Notaresco 1–0 Sammaurese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Notaresco58%fair 1.73 · @1.53
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.60
Sammaurese18%fair 5.44 · @5.25
2.53Expected goals
1.66Notaresco xG
0.87Sammaurese xG
45%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%

From our goals model: Notaresco 1.7 – 0.9 Sammaurese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNotaresco to win ✓58%1.731.53
Double chanceNotaresco or draw ✓82%1.231.11
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.80–
Draw no betNotaresco (draw no bet) ✓76%1.32–
Asian handicapSammaurese +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.881.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75%1.33–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
First team to scoreNotaresco to score first ✓60%1.65–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Notaresco / FT Notaresco ✓34%2.90–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.57–

Recent results

Notaresco – last 4

WDLD
15 Mar@ Sora3–0W
1 Marvs Fossombrone1–1D
22 Feb@ Maceratese1–2L
15 Febvs Vigor Senigallia1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sammaurese – last 4

LWLD
15 Mar@ Fossombrone1–2L
1 Marvs Teramo3–1W
22 Feb@ Vigor Senigallia1–3L
15 Febvs Sora2–2D
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Notaresco and Sammaurese.

Notaresco vs Sammaurese head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone F table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Teramo11821+1326
2L'Aquila11740+1325
3Ancona11632+1021
4Foligno Calcio11623+320
5Vigor Senigallia11614-119
6Fossombrone11524-217
7Montecchio Gallo11443+316
8Notaresco11443+216
9Real Giulianova11515016
10Atletico Ascoli11434+215
11Termoli Calcio11344-113
12Lanciano FC11335-312
13Maceratese11335-412
14Sporting Trestina11326-711
15Recanatese11236-59
16Pietralunga11236-69
17Santegidiese11236-89
18Angelana11218-97

More Serie D Girone F predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Notaresco vs Sammaurese?

Our pick is Notaresco to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Notaresco vs Sammaurese?

On our numbers Notaresco have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sammaurese 18%.

How many goals will there be in Notaresco vs Sammaurese?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Notaresco vs Sammaurese?

Our predicted score is Notaresco 1–0 Sammaurese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Notaresco vs Sammaurese?

Notaresco vs Sammaurese (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Vincenzo Savini.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.