Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.90 – our chance 56% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTeramo to win ✓38% · @2.48
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · fair 1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.71
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.13
L'Aquila vs Teramo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Sunday 22 March: L'Aquila v Teramo in the Serie D Girone F, played at Stadio Gran Sasso d'Italia. In the table, L'Aquila are 2nd, among the top four, on 25 points after 11 matches; Teramo are 1st (leading the league) with 26. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
L'Aquila, last 3: DLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Vigor Senigallia, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Teramo, last 3: LDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Sammaurese, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Teramo, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for L'Aquila.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give L'Aquila 1.7 xG, Teramo 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – L'Aquila 38%, draw 24%, Teramo 38%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.71.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: L'Aquila 1–1 Teramo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
L'Aquila38%fair 2.65 · @2.65
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.15
Teramo38%fair 2.62 · @2.48
3.30Expected goals
1.66L'Aquila xG
1.64Teramo xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: L'Aquila 1.7 – 1.6 Teramo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Teramo to win✓
38%
2.62
2.48
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.71 ▲
Draw no bet
Teramo (draw no bet)✓
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Teramo +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.90 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
1.29
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.10
First team to score
L'Aquila to score first
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT L'Aquila / FT L'Aquila✗
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.13
–
Recent results
L'Aquila – last 3
DLD
15 Mar
@ Vigor Senigallia
2–2
D
1 Mar
vs Sora
2–3
L
22 Feb
@ Real Giulianova
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Teramo – last 3
LDW
1 Mar
@ Sammaurese
1–3
L
22 Feb
@ Sora
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Fossombrone
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between L'Aquila and Teramo.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win L'Aquila vs Teramo?
On our numbers L'Aquila have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Teramo 38%.
How many goals will there be in L'Aquila vs Teramo?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for L'Aquila vs Teramo?
Our predicted score is L'Aquila 1–1 Teramo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is L'Aquila vs Teramo?
L'Aquila vs Teramo (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Gran Sasso d'Italia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.