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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Paraguay v Australia: numbers & prediction

World Cup · World · Levi's Stadium
0–0
FT
Paraguay 39%Draw 34%Australia 27% Expected goals 1.27 – 0.95
73%
Betarazi pick

Paraguay or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultParaguay to win ✗39% · @2.70
Double chanceParaguay or draw ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.99

Paraguay vs Australia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

03:00 WAT, Friday 26 June: Paraguay v Australia in the World Cup, played at Levi's Stadium.

Current form

Paraguay, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Türkiye, away. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Australia, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to USA, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Paraguay 1.3 xG, Australia 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 35%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Paraguay 39%, draw 34%, Australia 27%.
  • Lower-risk option: Paraguay or draw (73%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Paraguay or draw (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paraguay 1–0 Australia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Paraguay39%fair 2.55 · @2.70
Draw34%fair 2.97 · @2.26
Australia27%fair 3.70 · @3.90
2.23Expected goals
1.27Paraguay xG
0.95Australia xG
54%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Paraguay 1.3 – 1.0 Australia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultParaguay to win ✗39%2.552.70 ▲
Double chanceParaguay or draw ✓73%1.371.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.862.10 ▲
Draw no betParaguay (draw no bet)59%1.69–
Asian handicapAustralia +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗62%1.621.62
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓65%1.541.38
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.211.13
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.091.03
First team to scoreParaguay to score first ✗51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Paraguay / FT Paraguay ✗25%3.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.99–

Recent results

Paraguay – last 5

WLWLW
20 Jun@ Türkiye1–0W
13 Jun@ USA1–4L
5 Junvs Nicaragua4–0W
31 Mar@ Morocco1–2L
27 Mar@ Greece1–0W
1.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Australia – last 6

LWDLWW
19 Jun@ USA0–2L
14 Junvs Türkiye2–0W
6 Jun@ Switzerland1–1D
31 May@ Mexico0–1L
31 Marvs Curaçao5–1W
27 Marvs Cameroon1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Paraguay and Australia.

Paraguay vs Australia head-to-head page →

More World Cup predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Paraguay vs Australia?

Our pick is Paraguay or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Paraguay vs Australia?

On our numbers Paraguay have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 34% and Australia 27%.

How many goals will there be in Paraguay vs Australia?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Paraguay vs Australia?

Our predicted score is Paraguay 1–0 Australia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Paraguay vs Australia?

Paraguay vs Australia (World Cup) kicks off on Friday 26 June 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Levi's Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.