Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultParaguay to win ✗39% · @2.70
Double chanceParaguay or draw ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.99
Paraguay vs Australia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
03:00 WAT, Friday 26 June: Paraguay v Australia in the World Cup, played at Levi's Stadium.
Current form
Paraguay, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Türkiye, away. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Australia, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to USA, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paraguay 1.3 xG, Australia 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 35%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paraguay 39%, draw 34%, Australia 27%.
Lower-risk option: Paraguay or draw (73%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Paraguay or draw (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paraguay 1–0 Australia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paraguay39%fair 2.55 · @2.70
Draw34%fair 2.97 · @2.26
Australia27%fair 3.70 · @3.90
2.23Expected goals
1.27Paraguay xG
0.95Australia xG
54%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Paraguay 1.3 – 1.0 Australia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paraguay to win✗
39%
2.55
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Paraguay or draw✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Paraguay (draw no bet)
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Australia +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.13
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
1.03
First team to score
Paraguay to score first✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paraguay / FT Paraguay✗
25%
3.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.99
–
Recent results
Paraguay – last 5
WLWLW
20 Jun
@ Türkiye
1–0
W
13 Jun
@ USA
1–4
L
5 Jun
vs Nicaragua
4–0
W
31 Mar
@ Morocco
1–2
L
27 Mar
@ Greece
1–0
W
1.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Australia – last 6
LWDLWW
19 Jun
@ USA
0–2
L
14 Jun
vs Türkiye
2–0
W
6 Jun
@ Switzerland
1–1
D
31 May
@ Mexico
0–1
L
31 Mar
vs Curaçao
5–1
W
27 Mar
vs Cameroon
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paraguay and Australia.
Our pick is Paraguay or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Paraguay vs Australia?
On our numbers Paraguay have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 34% and Australia 27%.
How many goals will there be in Paraguay vs Australia?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paraguay vs Australia?
Our predicted score is Paraguay 1–0 Australia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Paraguay vs Australia?
Paraguay vs Australia (World Cup) kicks off on Friday 26 June 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Levi's Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.