Türkiye v USA Prediction & Expected Goals (26 Jun) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultUSA to win ✗57% · @1.87

Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.50

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.14

Türkiye vs USA: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 26 June the World Cup brings Türkiye against USA at SoFi Stadium. Kick-off: 03:00 WAT.

Current form

Türkiye, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Paraguay, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

USA, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Australia, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Türkiye 1.1 xG, USA 2.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 65%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Türkiye 22%, draw 20%, USA 57%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: USA to win @1.87 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Türkiye 1–1 USA. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Türkiye22%fair 4.45 · @3.55

Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.95

USA57%fair 1.75 · @1.87

3.10Expected goals

1.15Türkiye xG

1.96USA xG

65%Both score

60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%

1–210%

0–19%

0–29%

1–36%

2–16%

From our goals model: Türkiye 1.1 – 2.0 USA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	USA to win ✗	57%	1.75	1.87 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	80%	1.26	1.20
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	65%	1.55	1.50
Draw no bet	USA (draw no bet) ✗	72%	1.39	–
Asian handicap	Türkiye +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	67%	1.49	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	81%	1.24	1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	60%	1.66	1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	62%	1.62	1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	79%	1.27	1.22
First team to score	USA to score first	60%	1.66	–
Half-time result	USA ahead at half-time ✗	42%	2.39	–
Half-time / full-time	HT USA / FT USA ✗	35%	2.83	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	10%	10.14	–

Türkiye – last 6

LLWWWW

20 Jun	vs Paraguay	0–1	L
14 Jun	@ Australia	0–2	L
6 Jun	@ Venezuela	2–1	W
1 Jun	vs FYR Macedonia	4–0	W
31 Mar	@ Kosovo	1–0	W
26 Mar	vs Romania	1–0	W

1.3Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

17%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

USA – last 5

WWLWL

19 Jun	vs Australia	2–0	W
13 Jun	vs Paraguay	4–1	W
6 Jun	vs Germany	1–2	L
31 May	vs Senegal	3–2	W
1 Apr	vs Portugal	0–2	L

2.0Scored / game

1.4Conceded / game

60%Both scored

60%Over 2.5

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Türkiye vs USA?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Türkiye vs USA?

On our numbers Türkiye have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 20% and USA 57%.

How many goals will there be in Türkiye vs USA?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Türkiye vs USA?

Our predicted score is Türkiye 1–1 USA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Türkiye vs USA?

Türkiye vs USA (World Cup) kicks off on Friday 26 June 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at SoFi Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Türkiye v USA: numbers & prediction

Türkiye

USA

Both teams to score