Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 57% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSenegal to win ✓72% · @1.24
Double chanceSenegal or draw ✓90% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.67
Senegal vs Iraq: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Senegal welcome Iraq to BMO Field for a World Cup fixture on Friday 26 June (20:00 WAT).
Current form
Senegal, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Norway, away. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Iraq, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to France, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Senegal 2.5 xG, Iraq 0.9 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Senegal 72%, draw 18%, Iraq 10%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Senegal to win (72%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Senegal 2–0 Iraq. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Senegal72%fair 1.40 · @1.24
Draw18%fair 5.45 · @5.60
Iraq10%fair 10.01 · @12.00
3.46Expected goals
2.52Senegal xG
0.94Iraq xG
57%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–19%
3–08%
1–08%
3–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: Senegal 2.5 – 0.9 Iraq expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Senegal to win✓
72%
1.40
1.24
Double chance
Senegal or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Senegal (draw no bet)✓
88%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
Senegal -1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.22
First team to score
Senegal to score first✓
71%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Senegal ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Senegal / FT Senegal✓
49%
2.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.67
–
Recent results
Senegal – last 5
LLDLW
23 Jun
@ Norway
2–3
L
16 Jun
@ France
1–3
L
10 Jun
@ Saudi Arabia
0–0
D
31 May
@ USA
2–3
L
31 Mar
vs Gambia
3–1
W
1.6Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Iraq – last 6
LLLDWW
22 Jun
@ France
0–3
L
16 Jun
vs Norway
1–4
L
10 Jun
vs Venezuela
0–2
L
4 Jun
@ Spain
1–1
D
29 May
vs Andorra
1–0
W
1 Apr
vs Bolivia
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Senegal and Iraq.
Our pick is Senegal to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Senegal vs Iraq?
On our numbers Senegal have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Iraq 10%.
How many goals will there be in Senegal vs Iraq?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Senegal vs Iraq?
Our predicted score is Senegal 2–0 Iraq, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Senegal vs Iraq?
Senegal vs Iraq (World Cup) kicks off on Friday 26 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at BMO Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tunisia1
Netherlands3
Japan1
Sweden1
Paraguay0
Australia0
Türkiye3
USA2
Norway1
France4