Atlanta United FC v Columbus Crew Prediction & Expected Goals (5 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultColumbus Crew to win ✓44% · @2.28

Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.57

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.79

Atlanta United FC vs Columbus Crew: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Columbus Crew travel to face Atlanta United FC on Sunday 5 April in the Major League Soccer, with Mercedes-Benz Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT. In the table, Atlanta United FC are 13th, in the drop zone, on 33 points after 34 matches; Columbus Crew are 7th (upper half) with 47. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Atlanta United FC, last 3: DLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with DC United, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Columbus Crew, last 4: LDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Nashville SC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atlanta United FC 1.2 xG, Columbus Crew 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Atlanta United FC 32%, draw 24%, Columbus Crew 44%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlanta United FC 1–1 Columbus Crew. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atlanta United FC32%fair 3.16 · @2.85

Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.55

Columbus Crew44%fair 2.26 · @2.28

2.83Expected goals

1.24Atlanta United FC xG

1.59Columbus Crew xG

60%Both score

55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

0–19%

1–29%

0–27%

1–07%

2–17%

From our goals model: Atlanta United FC 1.2 – 1.6 Columbus Crew expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Columbus Crew to win ✓	44%	2.26	2.28
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	76%	1.32	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	60%	1.67	1.57
Draw no bet	Columbus Crew (draw no bet) ✓	58%	1.71	–
Asian handicap	Atlanta United FC +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	70%	1.43	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	77%	1.29	1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	55%	1.83	1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	67%	1.48	1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	83%	1.20	1.15
First team to score	Columbus Crew to score first	53%	1.89	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	41%	2.45	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Columbus Crew / FT Columbus Crew ✗	27%	3.65	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	10.79	–

Atlanta United FC – last 3

DLL

22 Mar	vs DC United	0–0	D
8 Mar	vs Real Salt Lake	2–3	L
1 Mar	@ San Jose Earthquakes	0–2	L

0.7Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Columbus Crew – last 4

LDDL

14 Mar	vs Nashville SC	0–1	L
8 Mar	vs Chicago Fire	0–0	D
1 Mar	@ Sporting Kansas City	2–2	D
22 Feb	@ Portland Timbers	2–3	L

1.0Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	23	8	3	+46	77
2	Inter Miami	34	16	12	6	+21	60
3	New England Revolution	34	18	4	12	+8	58
4	Chicago Fire	34	16	7	11	+10	55
5	Charlotte	34	15	9	10	+15	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	14	8	12	+14	50
7	Columbus Crew	34	14	5	15	+7	47
8	Orlando City SC	34	13	7	14	-15	46
9	FC Cincinnati	34	12	10	12	-8	46
10	New York Red Bulls	34	12	6	16	-14	42
11	New York City FC	34	10	12	12	+4	42
12	Toronto FC	34	9	12	13	-15	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	9	6	19	-17	33
14	DC United	34	7	12	15	-22	33
15	CF Montreal	34	6	8	20	-32	26

Team

Pts

Nashville SC

+46

Inter Miami

+21

New England Revolution

+10

+15

+14

-15

-8

-14

-15

-17

-22

-32

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atlanta United FC vs Columbus Crew?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Atlanta United FC vs Columbus Crew?

On our numbers Atlanta United FC have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Columbus Crew 44%.

How many goals will there be in Atlanta United FC vs Columbus Crew?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atlanta United FC vs Columbus Crew?

Our predicted score is Atlanta United FC 1–1 Columbus Crew, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Atlanta United FC vs Columbus Crew?

Atlanta United FC vs Columbus Crew (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Atlanta United FC v Columbus Crew: numbers & prediction