Chicago Fire v Nashville SC Prediction & Expected Goals (5 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultNashville SC to win ✗42% · @2.88

Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.60

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.80

Chicago Fire vs Nashville SC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Nashville SC travel to face Chicago Fire on Sunday 5 April in the Major League Soccer, with Soldier Field the venue – the ball rolls at 01:30 WAT. In the table, Chicago Fire are 4th, among the top four, on 55 points after 34 matches; Nashville SC are 1st (leading the league) with 77. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Chicago Fire, last 4: LDDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Orlando City II, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Nashville SC, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Orlando City SC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Nashville SC, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Chicago Fire.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chicago Fire 1.2 xG, Nashville SC 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Chicago Fire 32%, draw 26%, Nashville SC 42%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Nashville SC to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 42%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chicago Fire 1–1 Nashville SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chicago Fire32%fair 3.14 · @2.44

Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.20

Nashville SC42%fair 2.35 · @2.88

2.76Expected goals

1.20Chicago Fire xG

1.57Nashville SC xG

60%Both score

52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

0–110%

1–29%

0–28%

1–08%

2–17%

From our goals model: Chicago Fire 1.2 – 1.6 Nashville SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Nashville SC to win ✗	42%	2.35	2.88 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	74%	1.35	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	60%	1.68	1.60
Draw no bet	Nashville SC (draw no bet) ✗	57%	1.75	–
Asian handicap	Chicago Fire +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	70%	1.43	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	75%	1.32	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	52%	1.91	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	69%	1.45	1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	84%	1.19	1.14
First team to score	Nashville SC to score first ✗	53%	1.88	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	41%	2.41	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Nashville SC / FT Nashville SC ✗	27%	3.65	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	10.80	–

Chicago Fire – last 4

LDDL

9 Mar	@ Orlando City II	1–2	L
8 Mar	@ Columbus Crew	0–0	D
28 Feb	@ Inter Miami II	1–1	D
22 Feb	@ Houston Dynamo	1–2	L

0.8Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

75%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Nashville SC – last 6

WDWDWD

21 Mar	vs Orlando City SC	5–0	W
19 Mar	@ Inter Miami	1–1	D
14 Mar	@ Columbus Crew	1–0	W
12 Mar	vs Inter Miami	0–0	D
8 Mar	vs Minnesota United FC	3–1	W
1 Mar	@ FC Dallas	0–0	D

1.7Scored / game

0.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	23	8	3	+46	77
2	Inter Miami	34	16	12	6	+21	60
3	New England Revolution	34	18	4	12	+8	58
4	Chicago Fire	34	16	7	11	+10	55
5	Charlotte	34	15	9	10	+15	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	14	8	12	+14	50
7	Columbus Crew	34	14	5	15	+7	47
8	Orlando City SC	34	13	7	14	-15	46
9	FC Cincinnati	34	12	10	12	-8	46
10	New York Red Bulls	34	12	6	16	-14	42
11	New York City FC	34	10	12	12	+4	42
12	Toronto FC	34	9	12	13	-15	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	9	6	19	-17	33
14	DC United	34	7	12	15	-22	33
15	CF Montreal	34	6	8	20	-32	26

Team

Pts

Nashville SC

+46

Inter Miami

+21

New England Revolution

+10

+15

+14

-15

-8

-14

-15

-17

-22

-32

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chicago Fire vs Nashville SC?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Chicago Fire vs Nashville SC?

On our numbers Chicago Fire have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Nashville SC 42%.

How many goals will there be in Chicago Fire vs Nashville SC?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chicago Fire vs Nashville SC?

Our predicted score is Chicago Fire 1–1 Nashville SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Chicago Fire vs Nashville SC?

Chicago Fire vs Nashville SC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Soldier Field.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Chicago Fire v Nashville SC: numbers & prediction