Double chanceNew York City FC or draw ✓75% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.99
New York City FC vs St. Louis City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
New York City FC welcome St. Louis City to Yankee Stadium for a Major League Soccer fixture on Sunday 5 April (00:30 WAT). In the table, New York City FC are 11th, lower half, on 42 points after 34 matches; St. Louis City are 3rd (among the top four) with 54. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
St. Louis City, last 4: WLLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over New England Revolution, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give New York City FC 1.5 xG, St. Louis City 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – New York City FC 50%, draw 25%, St. Louis City 25%.
Lower-risk option: New York City FC or draw (75%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: New York City FC 1–1 St. Louis City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
New York City FC50%fair 2.01 · @1.73
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.80
St. Louis City25%fair 3.98 · @4.40
2.78Expected goals
1.53New York City FC xG
1.24St. Louis City xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: New York City FC 1.5 – 1.2 St. Louis City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
New York City FC to win✗
50%
2.01
1.73
Double chance
New York City FC or draw✓
75%
1.34
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.73
Draw no bet
New York City FC (draw no bet)
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
St. Louis City +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.13
First team to score
New York City FC to score first
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT New York City FC / FT New York City FC✗
26%
3.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.99
–
Recent results
New York City FC – last 2
WD
15 Mar
vs Colorado Rapids
3–1
W
23 Feb
@ Los Angeles Galaxy
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
St. Louis City – last 4
WLLL
22 Mar
vs New England Revolution
3–1
W
15 Mar
@ Los Angeles FC
0–2
L
8 Mar
vs Seattle Sounders
0–1
L
2 Mar
@ San Diego
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New York City FC and St. Louis City.
What is the prediction for New York City FC vs St. Louis City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win New York City FC vs St. Louis City?
On our numbers New York City FC have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and St. Louis City 25%.
How many goals will there be in New York City FC vs St. Louis City?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New York City FC vs St. Louis City?
Our predicted score is New York City FC 1–1 St. Louis City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is New York City FC vs St. Louis City?
New York City FC vs St. Louis City (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Yankee Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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