Charlotte v Philadelphia Union Prediction & Expected Goals (5 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultCharlotte to win ✓45% · @2.12

Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.06

Charlotte vs Philadelphia Union: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Philadelphia Union travel to face Charlotte on Sunday 5 April in the Major League Soccer, with Bank of America Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT. In the table, Charlotte are 5th, upper half, on 54 points after 34 matches; Philadelphia Union are 6th (upper half) with 50.

Current form

Charlotte, last 4: WDWL Their latest outing: 6–1 win over New York Red Bulls, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Philadelphia Union, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Club America, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Momentum favours Charlotte, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Philadelphia Union.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Charlotte 1.6 xG, Philadelphia Union 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Charlotte 45%, draw 24%, Philadelphia Union 31%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Charlotte 1–1 Philadelphia Union. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Charlotte45%fair 2.22 · @2.12

Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.50

Philadelphia Union31%fair 3.21 · @3.20

3.03Expected goals

1.64Charlotte xG

1.39Philadelphia Union xG

60%Both score

55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

2–19%

1–08%

1–28%

0–17%

2–07%

From our goals model: Charlotte 1.6 – 1.4 Philadelphia Union expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Charlotte to win ✓	45%	2.22	2.12
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	76%	1.31	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	60%	1.66	1.62
Draw no bet	Charlotte (draw no bet) ✓	59%	1.69	–
Asian handicap	Philadelphia Union +1 (Asian handicap)	72%	1.40	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	78%	1.29	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	55%	1.80	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	66%	1.51	1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	82%	1.21	1.13
First team to score	Charlotte to score first ✓	52%	1.94	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	39%	2.54	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Charlotte / FT Charlotte ✓	26%	3.83	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✓	9%	11.06	–

Charlotte – last 4

WDWL

22 Mar	vs New York Red Bulls	6–1	W
15 Mar	vs Inter Miami	0–0	D
8 Mar	vs Austin	3–1	W
1 Mar	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	0–3	L

2.3Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

75%Over 2.5

Philadelphia Union – last 6

DLLWLW

19 Mar	@ Club America	1–1	D
11 Mar	vs Club America	0–1	L
8 Mar	vs San Jose Earthquakes	0–1	L
27 Feb	vs Defence Force	7–0	W
22 Feb	@ DC United	0–1	L
19 Feb	@ Defence Force	5–0	W

2.2Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

17%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	23	8	3	+46	77
2	Inter Miami	34	16	12	6	+21	60
3	New England Revolution	34	18	4	12	+8	58
4	Chicago Fire	34	16	7	11	+10	55
5	Charlotte	34	15	9	10	+15	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	14	8	12	+14	50
7	Columbus Crew	34	14	5	15	+7	47
8	Orlando City SC	34	13	7	14	-15	46
9	FC Cincinnati	34	12	10	12	-8	46
10	New York Red Bulls	34	12	6	16	-14	42
11	New York City FC	34	10	12	12	+4	42
12	Toronto FC	34	9	12	13	-15	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	9	6	19	-17	33
14	DC United	34	7	12	15	-22	33
15	CF Montreal	34	6	8	20	-32	26

Team

Pts

Nashville SC

+46

Inter Miami

+21

New England Revolution

+10

+15

+14

-15

-8

-14

-15

-17

-22

-32

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Charlotte vs Philadelphia Union?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Charlotte vs Philadelphia Union?

On our numbers Charlotte have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Philadelphia Union 31%.

How many goals will there be in Charlotte vs Philadelphia Union?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Charlotte vs Philadelphia Union?

Our predicted score is Charlotte 1–1 Philadelphia Union, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Charlotte vs Philadelphia Union?

Charlotte vs Philadelphia Union (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Bank of America Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Charlotte v Philadelphia Union: numbers & prediction