New York Red Bulls 45%Draw 23%FC Cincinnati 32%Expected goals 1.80 – 1.56
81%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: FC Cincinnati to win @ 3.35 – our chance 32% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNew York Red Bulls to win ✓45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.41
New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
New York Red Bulls welcome FC Cincinnati to Sports Illustrated Stadium for a Major League Soccer fixture on Sunday 5 April (00:30 WAT). In the table, New York Red Bulls are 10th, lower half, on 42 points after 34 matches; FC Cincinnati are 9th (lower half) with 46.
Current form
FC Cincinnati, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Tigres UANL, away. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give New York Red Bulls 1.8 xG, FC Cincinnati 1.6 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – New York Red Bulls 45%, draw 23%, FC Cincinnati 32%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: FC Cincinnati to win @3.35 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: New York Red Bulls 1–1 FC Cincinnati. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
New York Red Bulls45%fair 2.23 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.65
FC Cincinnati32%fair 3.09 · @3.35
3.37Expected goals
1.80New York Red Bulls xG
1.56FC Cincinnati xG
65%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
2–06%
From our goals model: New York Red Bulls 1.8 – 1.6 FC Cincinnati expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
New York Red Bulls to win✓
45%
2.23
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
1.55
Draw no bet
New York Red Bulls (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
FC Cincinnati +1 (Asian handicap)✗
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.18
First team to score
New York Red Bulls to score first
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.71
–
Half-time / full-time
HT New York Red Bulls / FT New York Red Bulls✗
27%
3.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.41
–
Recent results
New York Red Bulls – last 2
LW
22 Mar
@ Charlotte
1–6
L
22 Feb
@ Orlando City SC
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
FC Cincinnati – last 6
LLWLWL
20 Mar
@ Tigres UANL
1–5
L
15 Mar
@ New England Revolution
1–6
L
13 Mar
vs Tigres UANL
3–0
W
9 Mar
vs Toronto FC
0–1
L
26 Feb
vs Universidad O&M
9–0
W
22 Feb
vs Louisville City
0–4
L
2.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New York Red Bulls and FC Cincinnati.
What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati?
On our numbers New York Red Bulls have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Cincinnati 32%.
How many goals will there be in New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati?
Our predicted score is New York Red Bulls 1–1 FC Cincinnati, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati?
New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Sports Illustrated Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Austin2
St. Louis City1
FC Dallas4
Houston Dynamo0
Seattle Sounders1
Los Angeles FC6