San Jose Earthquakes 61%Draw 22%Austin 17%Expected goals 1.91 – 1.08
62%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultSan Jose Earthquakes to win ✓61% · @1.46
Double chanceSan Jose Earthquakes or draw ✓83% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10
San Jose Earthquakes vs Austin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Austin travel to face San Jose Earthquakes on Thursday 23 April in the Major League Soccer, with PayPal Park the venue – the ball rolls at 03:30 WAT. In the table, San Jose Earthquakes are 4th, among the top four, on 52 points after 34 matches; Austin are 14th (in the drop zone) with 34. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
San Jose Earthquakes, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Los Angeles FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Austin, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Louisville City, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours San Jose Earthquakes, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.5 for Austin.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Jose Earthquakes 1.9 xG, Austin 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Jose Earthquakes 61%, draw 22%, Austin 17%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 Austin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Jose Earthquakes61%fair 1.65 · @1.46
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @4.40
Austin17%fair 5.72 · @6.40
2.99Expected goals
1.91San Jose Earthquakes xG
1.08Austin xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: San Jose Earthquakes 1.9 – 1.1 Austin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Jose Earthquakes to win✓
61%
1.65
1.46
Double chance
San Jose Earthquakes or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.65
Draw no bet
San Jose Earthquakes (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Austin +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
80%
1.26
1.22
First team to score
San Jose Earthquakes to score first✗
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
San Jose Earthquakes ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Jose Earthquakes / FT San Jose Earthquakes✗
35%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.10
–
Recent results
San Jose Earthquakes – last 6
WWWWWL
20 Apr
@ Los Angeles FC
4–1
W
16 Apr
vs Phoenix Rising
2–0
W
12 Apr
@ Sporting Kansas City
3–1
W
5 Apr
vs San Diego
3–0
W
22 Mar
@ Vancouver Whitecaps
1–0
W
16 Mar
vs Seattle Sounders
0–1
L
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Austin – last 6
LDDLLD
15 Apr
@ Louisville City
1–2
L
5 Apr
@ Inter Miami
2–2
D
22 Mar
vs Los Angeles FC
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Real Salt Lake
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Charlotte
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Minnesota United FC
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Jose Earthquakes and Austin.
What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs Austin?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Austin?
On our numbers San Jose Earthquakes have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Austin 17%.
How many goals will there be in San Jose Earthquakes vs Austin?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Jose Earthquakes vs Austin?
Our predicted score is San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 Austin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is San Jose Earthquakes vs Austin?
San Jose Earthquakes vs Austin (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at PayPal Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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