Columbus Crew v Philadelphia Union Prediction & Expected Goals (26 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultColumbus Crew to win ✓50% · @1.73

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.73

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.79

Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Philadelphia Union travel to face Columbus Crew on Sunday 26 April in the Major League Soccer, with ScottsMiracle-Gro Field the venue – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT. In the table, Columbus Crew are 7th, upper half, on 47 points after 34 matches; Philadelphia Union are 6th (upper half) with 50. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Columbus Crew, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Los Angeles Galaxy, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Philadelphia Union, last 5: DDLDL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Toronto FC, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Columbus Crew, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Philadelphia Union.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Columbus Crew 1.6 xG, Philadelphia Union 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Columbus Crew 50%, draw 23%, Philadelphia Union 27%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Columbus Crew 1–1 Philadelphia Union. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Columbus Crew50%fair 1.99 · @1.73

Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.75

Philadelphia Union27%fair 3.74 · @4.45

2.88Expected goals

1.62Columbus Crew xG

1.27Philadelphia Union xG

60%Both score

54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

2–19%

1–09%

2–07%

1–27%

0–17%

From our goals model: Columbus Crew 1.6 – 1.3 Philadelphia Union expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Columbus Crew to win ✓	50%	1.99	1.73
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.30	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	60%	1.67	1.73
Draw no bet	Columbus Crew (draw no bet) ✓	65%	1.53	–
Asian handicap	Philadelphia Union +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	70%	1.43	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	77%	1.30	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	54%	1.86	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	68%	1.47	1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	84%	1.20	1.13
First team to score	Columbus Crew to score first ✓	53%	1.89	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	40%	2.47	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Columbus Crew / FT Columbus Crew ✓	27%	3.65	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.79	–

Columbus Crew – last 6

WLWDWL

23 Apr	vs Los Angeles Galaxy	2–1	W
19 Apr	@ New England Revolution	1–2	L
16 Apr	@ Richmond Kickers	3–0	W
13 Apr	vs Orlando City SC	1–1	D
5 Apr	@ Atlanta United FC	3–1	W
14 Mar	vs Nashville SC	0–1	L

1.7Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Philadelphia Union – last 6

DDLDLL

23 Apr	@ Toronto FC	3–3	D
19 Apr	vs DC United	0–0	D
5 Apr	@ Charlotte	1–2	L
19 Mar	@ Club America	1–1	D
11 Mar	vs Club America	0–1	L
8 Mar	vs San Jose Earthquakes	0–1	L

0.8Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	23	8	3	+46	77
2	Inter Miami	34	16	12	6	+21	60
3	New England Revolution	34	18	4	12	+8	58
4	Chicago Fire	34	16	7	11	+10	55
5	Charlotte	34	15	9	10	+15	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	14	8	12	+14	50
7	Columbus Crew	34	14	5	15	+7	47
8	Orlando City SC	34	13	7	14	-15	46
9	FC Cincinnati	34	12	10	12	-8	46
10	New York Red Bulls	34	12	6	16	-14	42
11	New York City FC	34	10	12	12	+4	42
12	Toronto FC	34	9	12	13	-15	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	9	6	19	-17	33
14	DC United	34	7	12	15	-22	33
15	CF Montreal	34	6	8	20	-32	26

Team

Pts

Nashville SC

+46

Inter Miami

+21

New England Revolution

+10

+15

+14

-15

-8

-14

-15

-17

-22

-32

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union?

On our numbers Columbus Crew have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Philadelphia Union 27%.

How many goals will there be in Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union?

Our predicted score is Columbus Crew 1–1 Philadelphia Union, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union?

Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at ScottsMiracle-Gro Field.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Columbus Crew v Philadelphia Union: numbers & prediction