Austin v Houston Dynamo Prediction & Expected Goals (26 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultHouston Dynamo to win ✗41% · @2.28

Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.62

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.20

Austin vs Houston Dynamo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:30 WAT, Sunday 26 April: Austin v Houston Dynamo in the Major League Soccer, played at Q2 Stadium. In the table, Austin are 14th, in the drop zone, on 34 points after 34 matches; Houston Dynamo are 5th (upper half) with 51. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Austin, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to San Jose Earthquakes, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Houston Dynamo, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over San Diego, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Houston Dynamo, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.3 for Austin.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Austin 1.3 xG, Houston Dynamo 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Austin 33%, draw 26%, Houston Dynamo 41%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Austin 1–1 Houston Dynamo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Austin33%fair 3.07 · @2.92

Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.45

Houston Dynamo41%fair 2.42 · @2.28

2.80Expected goals

1.29Austin xG

1.51Houston Dynamo xG

62%Both score

53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

0–19%

1–29%

1–08%

2–18%

0–27%

From our goals model: Austin 1.3 – 1.5 Houston Dynamo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Houston Dynamo to win ✗	41%	2.42	2.28
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	74%	1.35	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	62%	1.62	1.62
Draw no bet	Houston Dynamo (draw no bet) ✗	56%	1.79	–
Asian handicap	Austin +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	74%	1.36	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	76%	1.32	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	53%	1.89	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	69%	1.45	1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	84%	1.19	1.14
First team to score	Houston Dynamo to score first ✗	51%	1.98	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	41%	2.42	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Houston Dynamo / FT Houston Dynamo ✗	25%	4.00	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.20	–

Austin – last 6

LLDDLL

23 Apr	@ San Jose Earthquakes	1–5	L
15 Apr	@ Louisville City	1–2	L
5 Apr	@ Inter Miami	2–2	D
22 Mar	vs Los Angeles FC	0–0	D
15 Mar	@ Real Salt Lake	1–2	L
8 Mar	@ Charlotte	1–3	L

1.0Scored / game

2.3Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Houston Dynamo – last 6

WWWLLL

23 Apr	vs San Diego	1–0	W
19 Apr	@ Orlando City SC	1–0	W
16 Apr	vs El Paso Locomotive	4–1	W
12 Apr	@ Colorado Rapids	2–6	L
5 Apr	vs Seattle Sounders	0–1	L
22 Mar	@ FC Dallas	3–4	L

1.8Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	34	19	7	8	+40	64
2	FC Dallas	34	16	10	8	+11	58
3	St. Louis City	34	15	9	10	+11	54
4	San Jose Earthquakes	34	14	10	10	+6	52
5	Houston Dynamo	34	14	9	11	0	51
6	Los Angeles FC	34	12	11	11	+12	47
7	Portland Timbers	34	13	7	14	+1	46
8	Seattle Sounders	34	12	10	12	-2	46
9	Real Salt Lake	34	13	6	15	+1	45
10	Minnesota United FC	34	11	11	12	-2	44
11	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	11	11	12	-7	44
12	Colorado Rapids	34	12	7	15	-3	43
13	San Diego	34	9	11	14	-6	38
14	Austin	34	8	10	16	-23	34
15	Sporting Kansas City	34	7	5	22	-41	26

Team

Pts

+40

+11

+11

+12

-2

-2

-7

-3

-6

-23

-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Austin vs Houston Dynamo?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Austin vs Houston Dynamo?

On our numbers Austin have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Houston Dynamo 41%.

How many goals will there be in Austin vs Houston Dynamo?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Austin vs Houston Dynamo?

Our predicted score is Austin 1–1 Houston Dynamo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Austin vs Houston Dynamo?

Austin vs Houston Dynamo (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Q2 Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Austin v Houston Dynamo: numbers & prediction