St. Louis City 45%Draw 22%San Jose Earthquakes 33%Expected goals 1.77 – 1.27
65%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
1
Value bet: St. Louis City to win @ 2.50 – our chance 45% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSt. Louis City to win ✗45% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.50
St. Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 26 April the Major League Soccer brings St. Louis City against San Jose Earthquakes at Energizer Park. Kick-off: 01:30 WAT. In the table, St. Louis City are 3rd, among the top four, on 54 points after 34 matches; San Jose Earthquakes are 4th (among the top four) with 52. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
St. Louis City, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Seattle Sounders, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
San Jose Earthquakes, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Austin, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours San Jose Earthquakes, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.3 for St. Louis City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give St. Louis City 1.8 xG, San Jose Earthquakes 1.3 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – St. Louis City 45%, draw 22%, San Jose Earthquakes 33%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.48.
Price worth noting: St. Louis City to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: St. Louis City 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
St. Louis City45%fair 2.24 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.80
San Jose Earthquakes33%fair 2.99 · @2.48
3.04Expected goals
1.77St. Louis City xG
1.27San Jose Earthquakes xG
65%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–08%
2–08%
1–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: St. Louis City 1.8 – 1.3 San Jose Earthquakes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
St. Louis City to win✗
45%
2.24
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.55
1.48
Draw no bet
St. Louis City (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
San Jose Earthquakes +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
80%
1.26
1.20
First team to score
St. Louis City to score first✗
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT St. Louis City / FT St. Louis City✗
30%
3.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.50
–
Recent results
St. Louis City – last 6
LWDDWL
19 Apr
@ Seattle Sounders
1–4
L
16 Apr
vs FC Tulsa
4–0
W
12 Apr
@ FC Dallas
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ New York City FC
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs New England Revolution
3–1
W
15 Mar
@ Los Angeles FC
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
San Jose Earthquakes – last 6
WWWWWW
23 Apr
vs Austin
5–1
W
20 Apr
@ Los Angeles FC
4–1
W
16 Apr
vs Phoenix Rising
2–0
W
12 Apr
@ Sporting Kansas City
3–1
W
5 Apr
vs San Diego
3–0
W
22 Mar
@ Vancouver Whitecaps
1–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between St. Louis City and San Jose Earthquakes.
What is the prediction for St. Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win St. Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes?
On our numbers St. Louis City have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and San Jose Earthquakes 33%.
How many goals will there be in St. Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St. Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Our predicted score is St. Louis City 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is St. Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes?
St. Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Energizer Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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