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Nashville SC v Charlotte: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · Geodis Park
4–2
FT
Nashville SC 58%Draw 24%Charlotte 18% Expected goals 1.87 – 0.98
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultNashville SC to win ✓58% · @1.58
Double chanceNashville SC or draw ✓82% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09

Nashville SC vs Charlotte: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Nashville SC welcome Charlotte to Geodis Park for a Major League Soccer fixture on Sunday 26 April (01:30 WAT). In the table, Nashville SC are 1st, leading the league, on 77 points after 34 matches; Charlotte are 5th (upper half) with 54. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Nashville SC, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Atlanta United FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Charlotte, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Orlando City SC, away. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.

Head to head

When they last met (12 Apr 2026) it ended Charlotte 1–2 Nashville SC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nashville SC 1.9 xG, Charlotte 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nashville SC 58%, draw 24%, Charlotte 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Nashville SC or draw (82%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nashville SC 1–1 Charlotte. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nashville SC58%fair 1.72 · @1.58
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.95
Charlotte18%fair 5.70 · @5.50
2.85Expected goals
1.87Nashville SC xG
0.98Charlotte xG
56%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%

From our goals model: Nashville SC 1.9 – 1.0 Charlotte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNashville SC to win ✓58%1.721.58
Double chanceNashville SC or draw ✓82%1.211.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.781.73
Draw no betNashville SC (draw no bet) ✓77%1.30–
Asian handicapCharlotte +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.831.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.491.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗83%1.211.17
First team to scoreNashville SC to score first62%1.61–
Half-time resultNashville SC ahead at half-time ✓42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nashville SC / FT Nashville SC ✓37%2.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.09–

Recent results

Nashville SC – last 6

WWWDLW
19 Apr@ Atlanta United FC2–0W
15 Apr@ Club America1–0W
12 Apr@ Charlotte2–1W
8 Aprvs Club America0–0D
5 Apr@ Chicago Fire0–1L
21 Marvs Orlando City SC5–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Charlotte – last 6

LWWLWW
23 Apr@ Orlando City SC1–4L
19 Apr@ New York City FC2–1W
16 Aprvs Charlotte Independence6–0W
12 Aprvs Nashville SC1–2L
5 Aprvs Philadelphia Union2–1W
22 Marvs New York Red Bulls6–1W
3.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Apr 2026Charlotte v Nashville SC1–2
Nashville SC vs Charlotte head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC342383+4677
2Inter Miami3416126+2160
3New England Revolution3418412+858
4Chicago Fire3416711+1055
5Charlotte3415910+1554
6Philadelphia Union3414812+1450
7Columbus Crew3414515+747
8Orlando City SC3413714-1546
9FC Cincinnati34121012-846
10New York Red Bulls3412616-1442
11New York City FC34101212+442
12Toronto FC3491213-1539
13Atlanta United FC349619-1733
14DC United3471215-2233
15CF Montreal346820-3226

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nashville SC vs Charlotte?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Nashville SC vs Charlotte?

On our numbers Nashville SC have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Charlotte 18%.

How many goals will there be in Nashville SC vs Charlotte?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nashville SC vs Charlotte?

Our predicted score is Nashville SC 1–1 Charlotte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Nashville SC vs Charlotte?

Nashville SC vs Charlotte (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Geodis Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.