Chicago Fire vs Sporting Kansas City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 26 April the Major League Soccer brings Chicago Fire against Sporting Kansas City at Soldier Field. Kick-off: 01:30 WAT. In the table, Chicago Fire are 4th, among the top four, on 55 points after 34 matches; Sporting Kansas City are 15th (in the drop zone) with 26. There are 29 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Chicago Fire, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with FC Cincinnati, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sporting Kansas City, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Vancouver Whitecaps, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Chicago Fire, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Sporting Kansas City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chicago Fire 2.6 xG, Sporting Kansas City 1.0 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chicago Fire 71%, draw 17%, Sporting Kansas City 12%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chicago Fire 2–1 Sporting Kansas City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chicago Fire71%fair 1.40 · @1.27
Draw17%fair 5.97 · @5.90
Sporting Kansas City12%fair 8.45 · @8.90
3.62Expected goals
2.57Chicago Fire xG
1.04Sporting Kansas City xG
61%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Chicago Fire 2.6 – 1.0 Sporting Kansas City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chicago Fire to win✓
71%
1.40
1.27
Double chance
Chicago Fire or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.60
Draw no bet
Chicago Fire (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Chicago Fire -1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.09
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.83
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.42
First team to score
Chicago Fire to score first✓
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Chicago Fire ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chicago Fire / FT Chicago Fire✗
48%
2.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.77
–
Recent results
Chicago Fire – last 6
DWWWLD
19 Apr
@ FC Cincinnati
3–3
D
15 Apr
@ Detroit City
2–1
W
12 Apr
vs Atlanta United FC
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs Nashville SC
1–0
W
9 Mar
@ Orlando City II
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Columbus Crew
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sporting Kansas City – last 6
LLLLWL
18 Apr
@ Vancouver Whitecaps
0–3
L
15 Apr
@ Colorado Springs
0–3
L
12 Apr
vs San Jose Earthquakes
1–3
L
22 Mar
vs Colorado Rapids
1–4
L
15 Mar
@ Los Angeles Galaxy
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs San Diego
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chicago Fire and Sporting Kansas City.
What is the prediction for Chicago Fire vs Sporting Kansas City?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Chicago Fire vs Sporting Kansas City?
On our numbers Chicago Fire have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Sporting Kansas City 12%.
How many goals will there be in Chicago Fire vs Sporting Kansas City?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chicago Fire vs Sporting Kansas City?
Our predicted score is Chicago Fire 2–1 Sporting Kansas City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Chicago Fire vs Sporting Kansas City?
Chicago Fire vs Sporting Kansas City (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Soldier Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Inter Miami1
New England Revolution1
Columbus Crew2
Philadelphia Union0
FC Cincinnati2
New York Red Bulls0
DC United3
Orlando City SC2
Nashville SC4
Charlotte2