Columbus Crew v Minnesota United FC Prediction & Expected Goals (3 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultColumbus Crew to win ✗58% · @1.73

Double chanceColumbus Crew or draw ✗81% · @1.20

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13

Columbus Crew vs Minnesota United FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Minnesota United FC travel to face Columbus Crew on Sunday 3 May in the Major League Soccer, with Lower.com Field the venue – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT. In the table, Columbus Crew are 7th, upper half, on 47 points after 34 matches; Minnesota United FC are 10th (lower half) with 44. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Columbus Crew, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over One Knoxville, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Minnesota United FC, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to San Jose Earthquakes, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Columbus Crew 2.0 xG, Minnesota United FC 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Columbus Crew 58%, draw 23%, Minnesota United FC 19%.
Lower-risk option: Columbus Crew or draw (81%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Columbus Crew or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Columbus Crew 1–1 Minnesota United FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Columbus Crew58%fair 1.74 · @1.73

Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.85

Minnesota United FC19%fair 5.21 · @4.33

3.10Expected goals

1.96Columbus Crew xG

1.13Minnesota United FC xG

60%Both score

58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%

2–110%

1–09%

2–09%

3–16%

3–06%

From our goals model: Columbus Crew 2.0 – 1.1 Minnesota United FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Columbus Crew to win ✗	58%	1.74	1.73
Double chance	Columbus Crew or draw ✗	81%	1.24	1.20
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	60%	1.66	1.62
Draw no bet	Columbus Crew (draw no bet) ✗	75%	1.33	–
Asian handicap	Minnesota United FC +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	66%	1.50	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	80%	1.25	1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	58%	1.71	1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	63%	1.58	1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	80%	1.25	1.18
First team to score	Columbus Crew to score first ✓	61%	1.65	–
Half-time result	Columbus Crew ahead at half-time ✓	42%	2.38	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Columbus Crew / FT Columbus Crew ✗	36%	2.80	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.13	–

Columbus Crew – last 6

WWWLWD

30 Apr	vs One Knoxville	4–1	W
26 Apr	vs Philadelphia Union	2–0	W
23 Apr	vs Los Angeles Galaxy	2–1	W
19 Apr	@ New England Revolution	1–2	L
16 Apr	@ Richmond Kickers	3–0	W
13 Apr	vs Orlando City SC	1–1	D

2.2Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Minnesota United FC – last 6

LWWWWL

29 Apr	@ San Jose Earthquakes	2–4	L
23 Apr	@ FC Dallas	1–0	W
19 Apr	vs Portland Timbers	2–0	W
12 Apr	@ San Diego	2–1	W
5 Apr	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	2–1	W
8 Mar	@ Nashville SC	1–3	L

1.7Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	34	19	7	8	+40	64
2	FC Dallas	34	16	10	8	+11	58
3	St. Louis City	34	15	9	10	+11	54
4	San Jose Earthquakes	34	14	10	10	+6	52
5	Houston Dynamo	34	14	9	11	0	51
6	Los Angeles FC	34	12	11	11	+12	47
7	Portland Timbers	34	13	7	14	+1	46
8	Seattle Sounders	34	12	10	12	-2	46
9	Real Salt Lake	34	13	6	15	+1	45
10	Minnesota United FC	34	11	11	12	-2	44
11	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	11	11	12	-7	44
12	Colorado Rapids	34	12	7	15	-3	43
13	San Diego	34	9	11	14	-6	38
14	Austin	34	8	10	16	-23	34
15	Sporting Kansas City	34	7	5	22	-41	26

Team

Pts

+40

+11

+11

+12

-2

-2

-7

-3

-6

-23

-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Columbus Crew vs Minnesota United FC?

Our pick is Columbus Crew or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Columbus Crew vs Minnesota United FC?

On our numbers Columbus Crew have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Minnesota United FC 19%.

How many goals will there be in Columbus Crew vs Minnesota United FC?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Columbus Crew vs Minnesota United FC?

Our predicted score is Columbus Crew 1–1 Minnesota United FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Columbus Crew vs Minnesota United FC?

Columbus Crew vs Minnesota United FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Lower.com Field.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Columbus Crew v Minnesota United FC: numbers & prediction

Columbus Crew