New York Red Bulls 42%Draw 23%FC Dallas 35%Expected goals 1.69 – 1.62
66%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
2
Value bet: FC Dallas to win @ 3.25 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNew York Red Bulls to win ✗42% · @2.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.83
New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Sunday 3 May: New York Red Bulls v FC Dallas in the Major League Soccer, played at Sports Illustrated Stadium. In the table, New York Red Bulls are 10th, lower half, on 42 points after 34 matches; FC Dallas are 2nd (among the top four) with 58. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
New York Red Bulls, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to New York City FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
FC Dallas, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Seattle Sounders, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give New York Red Bulls 1.7 xG, FC Dallas 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – New York Red Bulls 42%, draw 23%, FC Dallas 35%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.42.
Price worth noting: FC Dallas to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: New York Red Bulls 1–1 FC Dallas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
New York Red Bulls42%fair 2.38 · @2.02
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.75
FC Dallas35%fair 2.89 · @3.25
3.31Expected goals
1.69New York Red Bulls xG
1.62FC Dallas xG
66%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: New York Red Bulls 1.7 – 1.6 FC Dallas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
New York Red Bulls to win✗
42%
2.38
2.02
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.51
1.42
Draw no bet
New York Red Bulls (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
FC Dallas +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
First team to score
New York Red Bulls to score first✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT New York Red Bulls / FT New York Red Bulls✗
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.83
–
Recent results
New York Red Bulls – last 6
LLDWDW
30 Apr
vs New York City FC
1–3
L
26 Apr
@ FC Cincinnati
0–2
L
23 Apr
vs DC United
4–4
D
16 Apr
vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
3–1
W
12 Apr
@ Inter Miami
2–2
D
5 Apr
vs FC Cincinnati
4–2
W
2.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
FC Dallas – last 6
LLDDWW
26 Apr
@ Seattle Sounders
1–2
L
23 Apr
vs Minnesota United FC
0–1
L
19 Apr
vs Los Angeles Galaxy
2–2
D
12 Apr
vs St. Louis City
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ DC United
4–0
W
22 Mar
vs Houston Dynamo
4–3
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New York Red Bulls and FC Dallas.
What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas?
On our numbers New York Red Bulls have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Dallas 35%.
How many goals will there be in New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas?
Our predicted score is New York Red Bulls 1–1 FC Dallas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas?
New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Sports Illustrated Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Inter Miami3
Orlando City SC4
Philadelphia Union0
Nashville SC0
Columbus Crew2
Atlanta United FC3
CF Montreal1
New England Revolution1
Charlotte0
Chicago Fire2
FC Cincinnati3