Chicago Fire v FC Cincinnati Prediction & Expected Goals (3 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultChicago Fire to win ✗56% · @1.66

Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.18

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.45

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.45

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.20

Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Chicago Fire welcome FC Cincinnati to Soldier Field for a Major League Soccer fixture on Sunday 3 May (01:30 WAT). In the table, Chicago Fire are 4th, among the top four, on 55 points after 34 matches; FC Cincinnati are 9th (lower half) with 46.

Current form

Chicago Fire, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to St. Louis City, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

FC Cincinnati, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over New York Red Bulls, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Chicago Fire, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for FC Cincinnati.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended FC Cincinnati 3–3 Chicago Fire.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chicago Fire 2.3 xG, FC Cincinnati 1.5 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 69% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Chicago Fire 56%, draw 20%, FC Cincinnati 24%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.45.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chicago Fire 2–1 FC Cincinnati. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chicago Fire56%fair 1.78 · @1.66

Draw20%fair 4.96 · @4.10

FC Cincinnati24%fair 4.24 · @4.40

3.75Expected goals

2.26Chicago Fire xG

1.50FC Cincinnati xG

65%Both score

69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%

1–18%

3–17%

2–27%

2–06%

1–26%

From our goals model: Chicago Fire 2.3 – 1.5 FC Cincinnati expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Chicago Fire to win ✗	56%	1.78	1.66
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	80%	1.25	1.18
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	65%	1.54	1.45
Draw no bet	Chicago Fire (draw no bet) ✗	70%	1.42	–
Asian handicap	FC Cincinnati +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	66%	1.51	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	86%	1.16	1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	69%	1.46	1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	52%	1.93	1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	70%	1.43	1.30
First team to score	Chicago Fire to score first	59%	1.70	–
Half-time result	Chicago Fire ahead at half-time ✗	42%	2.36	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Chicago Fire / FT Chicago Fire ✗	35%	2.86	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.20	–

Chicago Fire – last 6

LWDWWW

30 Apr	vs St. Louis City	1–2	L
26 Apr	vs Sporting Kansas City	5–0	W
19 Apr	@ FC Cincinnati	3–3	D
15 Apr	@ Detroit City	2–1	W
12 Apr	vs Atlanta United FC	1–0	W
5 Apr	vs Nashville SC	1–0	W

2.2Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

FC Cincinnati – last 6

WDDLLL

26 Apr	vs New York Red Bulls	2–0	W
23 Apr	@ New York City FC	4–4	D
19 Apr	vs Chicago Fire	3–3	D
5 Apr	@ New York Red Bulls	2–4	L
20 Mar	@ Tigres UANL	1–5	L
15 Mar	@ New England Revolution	1–6	L

2.2Scored / game

3.7Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	23	8	3	+46	77
2	Inter Miami	34	16	12	6	+21	60
3	New England Revolution	34	18	4	12	+8	58
4	Chicago Fire	34	16	7	11	+10	55
5	Charlotte	34	15	9	10	+15	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	14	8	12	+14	50
7	Columbus Crew	34	14	5	15	+7	47
8	Orlando City SC	34	13	7	14	-15	46
9	FC Cincinnati	34	12	10	12	-8	46
10	New York Red Bulls	34	12	6	16	-14	42
11	New York City FC	34	10	12	12	+4	42
12	Toronto FC	34	9	12	13	-15	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	9	6	19	-17	33
14	DC United	34	7	12	15	-22	33
15	CF Montreal	34	6	8	20	-32	26

Team

Pts

Nashville SC

+46

Inter Miami

+21

New England Revolution

+10

+15

+14

-15

-8

-14

-15

-17

-22

-32

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati?

On our numbers Chicago Fire have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC Cincinnati 24%.

How many goals will there be in Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati?

Our predicted score is Chicago Fire 2–1 FC Cincinnati, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati?

Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Soldier Field.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Chicago Fire v FC Cincinnati: numbers & prediction

Chicago Fire

FC Cincinnati

Over 2.5 goals

Picks by market

Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Current form

Head to head

Where the goals come from

Markets worth a look

Our call before kick-off

Result chances

Score grid: top six

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Recent results

Chicago Fire – last 6

FC Cincinnati – last 6

Head to head

Major League Soccer table

More Major League Soccer predictions

Frequently asked questions