New England Revolution 43%Draw 24%Charlotte 33%Expected goals 1.60 – 1.51
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultNew England Revolution to win ✓43% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.61
New England Revolution vs Charlotte: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 3 May the Major League Soccer brings New England Revolution against Charlotte at Gillette Stadium. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, New England Revolution are 3rd, among the top four, on 58 points after 34 matches; Charlotte are 5th (upper half) with 54.
Current form
New England Revolution, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Orlando City SC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Charlotte, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Atlanta United FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours New England Revolution, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Charlotte.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give New England Revolution 1.6 xG, Charlotte 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – New England Revolution 43%, draw 24%, Charlotte 33%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: New England Revolution 1–1 Charlotte. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
New England Revolution43%fair 2.34 · @2.12
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.55
Charlotte33%fair 3.00 · @3.15
3.11Expected goals
1.60New England Revolution xG
1.51Charlotte xG
63%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–27%
From our goals model: New England Revolution 1.6 – 1.5 Charlotte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
New England Revolution to win✓
43%
2.34
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.65
Draw no bet
New England Revolution (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Charlotte +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.27
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
1.13
First team to score
New England Revolution to score first✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT New England Revolution / FT New England Revolution✗
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.61
–
Recent results
New England Revolution – last 6
LDWWWL
30 Apr
vs Orlando City SC
3–4
L
26 Apr
@ Inter Miami
1–1
D
23 Apr
@ Atlanta United FC
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Columbus Crew
2–1
W
12 Apr
vs DC United
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ St. Louis City
1–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Charlotte – last 6
LLLWWL
29 Apr
vs Atlanta United FC
0–2
L
26 Apr
@ Nashville SC
2–4
L
23 Apr
@ Orlando City SC
1–4
L
19 Apr
@ New York City FC
2–1
W
16 Apr
vs Charlotte Independence
6–0
W
12 Apr
vs Nashville SC
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New England Revolution and Charlotte.
What is the prediction for New England Revolution vs Charlotte?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win New England Revolution vs Charlotte?
On our numbers New England Revolution have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Charlotte 33%.
How many goals will there be in New England Revolution vs Charlotte?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New England Revolution vs Charlotte?
Our predicted score is New England Revolution 1–1 Charlotte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is New England Revolution vs Charlotte?
New England Revolution vs Charlotte (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Gillette Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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