Atlanta United FC 41%Draw 24%Los Angeles Galaxy 35%Expected goals 1.58 – 1.45
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultAtlanta United FC to win ✗41% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.46
Atlanta United FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atlanta United FC welcome Los Angeles Galaxy to Mercedes-Benz Stadium for a Major League Soccer fixture on Sunday 10 May (00:30 WAT). In the table, Atlanta United FC are 13th, in the drop zone, on 33 points after 34 matches; Los Angeles Galaxy are 11th (lower half) with 44.
Current form
Atlanta United FC, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over CF Montreal, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Los Angeles Galaxy, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Vancouver Whitecaps, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Atlanta United FC, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Los Angeles Galaxy.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlanta United FC 1.6 xG, Los Angeles Galaxy 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlanta United FC 41%, draw 24%, Los Angeles Galaxy 35%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlanta United FC 1–1 Los Angeles Galaxy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlanta United FC41%fair 2.44 · @2.32
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.60
Los Angeles Galaxy35%fair 2.84 · @2.78
3.03Expected goals
1.58Atlanta United FC xG
1.45Los Angeles Galaxy xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Atlanta United FC 1.6 – 1.5 Los Angeles Galaxy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlanta United FC to win✗
41%
2.44
2.32
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.53
Draw no bet
Atlanta United FC (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Los Angeles Galaxy +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
First team to score
Atlanta United FC to score first
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlanta United FC / FT Atlanta United FC✗
24%
4.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.46
–
Recent results
Atlanta United FC – last 6
WWLLWL
3 May
vs CF Montreal
3–1
W
29 Apr
@ Charlotte
2–0
W
23 Apr
vs New England Revolution
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Nashville SC
0–2
L
16 Apr
@ Chattanooga
3–1
W
12 Apr
@ Chicago Fire
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Los Angeles Galaxy – last 6
DWLDLL
3 May
vs Vancouver Whitecaps
1–1
D
27 Apr
vs Real Salt Lake
2–1
W
23 Apr
@ Columbus Crew
1–2
L
19 Apr
@ FC Dallas
2–2
D
16 Apr
vs Toluca
0–3
L
9 Apr
@ Toluca
2–4
L
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlanta United FC and Los Angeles Galaxy.
What is the prediction for Atlanta United FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Atlanta United FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
On our numbers Atlanta United FC have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Los Angeles Galaxy 35%.
How many goals will there be in Atlanta United FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlanta United FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
Our predicted score is Atlanta United FC 1–1 Los Angeles Galaxy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Atlanta United FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
Atlanta United FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Charlotte2
FC Cincinnati2
New England Revolution2
Philadelphia Union1
Nashville SC2
DC United2