Double chancePortland Timbers or draw ✓83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.45
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.87
Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sporting Kansas City travel to face Portland Timbers on Sunday 10 May in the Major League Soccer, with Providence Park the venue – the ball rolls at 03:30 WAT. In the table, Portland Timbers are 7th, upper half, on 46 points after 34 matches; Sporting Kansas City are 15th (in the drop zone) with 26. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Portland Timbers, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over San Diego, away. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 2.4 conceded per game.
Sporting Kansas City, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Chicago Fire, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Portland Timbers, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Sporting Kansas City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Portland Timbers 2.5 xG, Sporting Kansas City 1.2 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Portland Timbers 65%, draw 18%, Sporting Kansas City 17%.
Lower-risk option: Portland Timbers or draw (83%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.45.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portland Timbers 2–1 Sporting Kansas City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Portland Timbers65%fair 1.53 · @1.50
Draw18%fair 5.62 · @4.65
Sporting Kansas City17%fair 5.96 · @5.30
3.74Expected goals
2.53Portland Timbers xG
1.21Sporting Kansas City xG
67%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
2–08%
1–17%
3–06%
1–06%
From our goals model: Portland Timbers 2.5 – 1.2 Sporting Kansas City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portland Timbers to win✓
65%
1.53
1.50
Double chance
Portland Timbers or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.50
1.45
Draw no bet
Portland Timbers (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Portland Timbers -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.83
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.35
First team to score
Portland Timbers to score first✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Portland Timbers ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portland Timbers / FT Portland Timbers✓
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.87
–
Recent results
Portland Timbers – last 5
WLLLW
26 Apr
@ San Diego
2–1
W
19 Apr
@ Minnesota United FC
0–2
L
5 Apr
@ Vancouver Whitecaps
2–3
L
8 Mar
vs Vancouver Whitecaps
1–4
L
22 Feb
vs Columbus Crew
3–2
W
1.6Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Sporting Kansas City – last 6
LLLLLW
26 Apr
@ Chicago Fire
0–5
L
18 Apr
@ Vancouver Whitecaps
0–3
L
15 Apr
@ Colorado Springs
0–3
L
12 Apr
vs San Jose Earthquakes
1–3
L
22 Mar
vs Colorado Rapids
1–4
L
15 Mar
@ Los Angeles Galaxy
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portland Timbers and Sporting Kansas City.
What is the prediction for Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City?
On our numbers Portland Timbers have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sporting Kansas City 17%.
How many goals will there be in Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City?
Our predicted score is Portland Timbers 2–1 Sporting Kansas City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City?
Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at Providence Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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