New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 10 May the Major League Soccer brings New England Revolution against Philadelphia Union at Gillette Stadium. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, New England Revolution are 3rd, among the top four, on 58 points after 34 matches; Philadelphia Union are 6th (upper half) with 50.
Current form
New England Revolution, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Charlotte, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Philadelphia Union, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Nashville SC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours New England Revolution, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Philadelphia Union.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give New England Revolution 1.3 xG, Philadelphia Union 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – New England Revolution 36%, draw 25%, Philadelphia Union 39%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: New England Revolution 1–1 Philadelphia Union. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
New England Revolution36%fair 2.81 · @2.62
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.35
Philadelphia Union39%fair 2.53 · @2.56
2.79Expected goals
1.33New England Revolution xG
1.46Philadelphia Union xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: New England Revolution 1.3 – 1.5 Philadelphia Union expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Philadelphia Union to win✗
39%
2.53
2.56
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.75
Draw no bet
Philadelphia Union (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
New England Revolution +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.09
First team to score
Philadelphia Union to score first✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Philadelphia Union / FT Philadelphia Union✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.46
–
Recent results
New England Revolution – last 6
WLDWWW
3 May
vs Charlotte
1–0
W
30 Apr
vs Orlando City SC
3–4
L
26 Apr
@ Inter Miami
1–1
D
23 Apr
@ Atlanta United FC
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Columbus Crew
2–1
W
12 Apr
vs DC United
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union – last 6
DLDDLD
3 May
vs Nashville SC
0–0
D
26 Apr
@ Columbus Crew
0–2
L
23 Apr
@ Toronto FC
3–3
D
19 Apr
vs DC United
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Charlotte
1–2
L
19 Mar
@ Club America
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New England Revolution and Philadelphia Union.
What is the prediction for New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union?
On our numbers New England Revolution have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Philadelphia Union 39%.
How many goals will there be in New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union?
Our predicted score is New England Revolution 1–1 Philadelphia Union, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union?
New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Gillette Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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