Value bet: Nashville SC to win @ 1.63 – our chance 65% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNashville SC to win ✗65% · @1.63
Double chanceNashville SC or draw ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10% · fair 10.50
Nashville SC vs DC United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 10 May the Major League Soccer brings Nashville SC against DC United at Geodis Park. Kick-off: 02:15 WAT. In the table, Nashville SC are 1st, leading the league, on 77 points after 34 matches; DC United are 14th (in the drop zone) with 33. There are 44 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Nashville SC, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Tigres UANL, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
DC United, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Orlando City SC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Nashville SC, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for DC United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nashville SC 2.0 xG, DC United 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nashville SC 65%, draw 21%, DC United 14%.
Lower-risk option: Nashville SC or draw (86%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Nashville SC to win @1.63 – the bookmaker implies 61%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nashville SC 2–0 DC United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nashville SC65%fair 1.53 · @1.63
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.80
DC United14%fair 7.31 · @5.20
2.70Expected goals
2.04Nashville SC xG
0.66DC United xG
48%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Nashville SC 2.0 – 0.7 DC United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nashville SC to win✗
65%
1.53
1.63 ▲
Double chance
Nashville SC or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.85
Draw no bet
Nashville SC (draw no bet)
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Nashville SC -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.11
First team to score
Nashville SC to score first✗
71%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Nashville SC ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nashville SC / FT Nashville SC✗
45%
2.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
10%
10.50
–
Recent results
Nashville SC – last 6
LDLWWW
6 May
@ Tigres UANL
0–1
L
3 May
@ Philadelphia Union
0–0
D
29 Apr
vs Tigres UANL
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Charlotte
4–2
W
19 Apr
@ Atlanta United FC
2–0
W
15 Apr
@ Club America
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
DC United – last 6
WDDLLD
26 Apr
vs Orlando City SC
3–2
W
23 Apr
@ New York Red Bulls
4–4
D
19 Apr
@ Philadelphia Union
0–0
D
12 Apr
@ New England Revolution
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs FC Dallas
0–4
L
22 Mar
@ Atlanta United FC
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nashville SC and DC United.
What is the prediction for Nashville SC vs DC United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Nashville SC vs DC United?
On our numbers Nashville SC have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and DC United 14%.
How many goals will there be in Nashville SC vs DC United?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nashville SC vs DC United?
Our predicted score is Nashville SC 2–0 DC United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Nashville SC vs DC United?
Nashville SC vs DC United (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 02:15 (West Africa Time) at Geodis Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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