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San Jose Earthquakes v Vancouver Whitecaps: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · PayPal Park
San Jose Earthquakes 31%Draw 24%Vancouver Whitecaps 45% Expected goals 1.37 – 1.74
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.42Odds

Picks by market

ResultVancouver Whitecaps to win ✗45% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.83

San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

San Jose Earthquakes welcome Vancouver Whitecaps to PayPal Park for a Major League Soccer fixture on Sunday 10 May (03:30 WAT). In the table, San Jose Earthquakes are 4th, among the top four, on 52 points after 34 matches; Vancouver Whitecaps are 1st (leading the league) with 64. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

San Jose Earthquakes, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Minnesota United FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.5 goals per game.

Vancouver Whitecaps, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Los Angeles Galaxy, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Momentum favours San Jose Earthquakes, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.2 for Vancouver Whitecaps.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended Vancouver Whitecaps 0–1 San Jose Earthquakes.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give San Jose Earthquakes 1.4 xG, Vancouver Whitecaps 1.7 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – San Jose Earthquakes 31%, draw 24%, Vancouver Whitecaps 45%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.42.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 Vancouver Whitecaps. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

San Jose Earthquakes31%fair 3.22 · @3.10
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.65
Vancouver Whitecaps45%fair 2.21 · @2.12
3.11Expected goals
1.37San Jose Earthquakes xG
1.74Vancouver Whitecaps xG
66%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
2–26%

From our goals model: San Jose Earthquakes 1.4 – 1.7 Vancouver Whitecaps expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVancouver Whitecaps to win ✗45%2.212.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.311.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.501.42
Draw no betVancouver Whitecaps (draw no bet)59%1.69–
Asian handicapSan Jose Earthquakes +1 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.231.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗61%1.631.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓60%1.661.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.291.25
First team to scoreVancouver Whitecaps to score first ✗53%1.87–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.59–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vancouver Whitecaps / FT Vancouver Whitecaps ✗28%3.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.83–

Recent results

San Jose Earthquakes – last 6

WWWWWW
29 Aprvs Minnesota United FC4–2W
26 Apr@ St. Louis City3–2W
23 Aprvs Austin5–1W
20 Apr@ Los Angeles FC4–1W
16 Aprvs Phoenix Rising2–0W
12 Apr@ Sporting Kansas City3–1W
3.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Vancouver Whitecaps – last 6

DWWWWL
3 May@ Los Angeles Galaxy1–1D
26 Aprvs Colorado Rapids3–1W
18 Aprvs Sporting Kansas City3–0W
12 Aprvs New York City FC2–0W
5 Aprvs Portland Timbers3–2W
22 Marvs San Jose Earthquakes0–1L
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Mar 2026Vancouver Whitecaps v San Jose Earthquakes0–1
San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps341978+4064
2FC Dallas3416108+1158
3St. Louis City3415910+1154
4San Jose Earthquakes34141010+652
5Houston Dynamo3414911051
6Los Angeles FC34121111+1247
7Portland Timbers3413714+146
8Seattle Sounders34121012-246
9Real Salt Lake3413615+145
10Minnesota United FC34111112-244
11Los Angeles Galaxy34111112-744
12Colorado Rapids3412715-343
13San Diego3491114-638
14Austin3481016-2334
15Sporting Kansas City347522-4126

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

On our numbers San Jose Earthquakes have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Vancouver Whitecaps 45%.

How many goals will there be in San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Our predicted score is San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 Vancouver Whitecaps, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at PayPal Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.