New England Revolution 57%Draw 24%Toronto FC 19%Expected goals 1.98 – 1.17
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultNew England Revolution to win ✗57% · @1.73
Double chanceNew England Revolution or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.17
New England Revolution vs Toronto FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Thursday 23 July: New England Revolution v Toronto FC in the Major League Soccer, played at Gillette Stadium. In the table, New England Revolution are 3rd, among the top four, on 58 points after 34 matches; Toronto FC are 12th (lower half) with 39. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
New England Revolution, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Charlotte, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Toronto FC, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with CF Montreal, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours New England Revolution, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Toronto FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give New England Revolution 2.0 xG, Toronto FC 1.2 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – New England Revolution 57%, draw 24%, Toronto FC 19%.
Lower-risk option: New England Revolution or draw (81%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: New England Revolution 1–1 Toronto FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
New England Revolution57%fair 1.76 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.75
Toronto FC19%fair 5.14 · @4.50
3.15Expected goals
1.98New England Revolution xG
1.17Toronto FC xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–08%
3–17%
1–26%
From our goals model: New England Revolution 2.0 – 1.2 Toronto FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
New England Revolution to win✗
57%
1.76
1.73
Double chance
New England Revolution or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.65
Draw no bet
New England Revolution (draw no bet)
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Toronto FC +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
First team to score
New England Revolution to score first✗
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
New England Revolution ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT New England Revolution / FT New England Revolution✗
35%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.17
–
Recent results
New England Revolution – last 6
LWLWWL
24 May
@ Charlotte
0–1
L
17 May
vs Minnesota United FC
2–1
W
14 May
vs Nashville SC
0–3
L
10 May
vs Philadelphia Union
2–1
W
3 May
vs Charlotte
1–0
W
30 Apr
vs Orlando City SC
3–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Toronto FC – last 6
DLLLDW
17 Jul
@ CF Montreal
0–0
D
24 May
@ Chicago Fire
1–2
L
17 May
@ Charlotte
1–3
L
6 May
vs Atlético Ottawa
1–3
L
23 Apr
vs Philadelphia Union
3–3
D
9 Mar
@ FC Cincinnati
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New England Revolution and Toronto FC.
What is the prediction for New England Revolution vs Toronto FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win New England Revolution vs Toronto FC?
On our numbers New England Revolution have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Toronto FC 19%.
How many goals will there be in New England Revolution vs Toronto FC?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New England Revolution vs Toronto FC?
Our predicted score is New England Revolution 1–1 Toronto FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is New England Revolution vs Toronto FC?
New England Revolution vs Toronto FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Gillette Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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