Austin v Seattle Sounders Prediction & Expected Goals (23 Jul) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSeattle Sounders to win ✗41% · @2.28

Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.57

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.61

Austin vs Seattle Sounders: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

02:30 WAT, Thursday 23 July: Austin v Seattle Sounders in the Major League Soccer, played at Q2 Stadium. In the table, Austin are 14th, in the drop zone, on 34 points after 34 matches; Seattle Sounders are 8th (upper half) with 46. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Austin, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Sporting JAX, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Seattle Sounders, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Portland Timbers, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Austin 1.4 xG, Seattle Sounders 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 64%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Austin 35%, draw 25%, Seattle Sounders 41%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Austin 1–1 Seattle Sounders. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Austin35%fair 2.88 · @2.82

Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.60

Seattle Sounders41%fair 2.46 · @2.28

2.83Expected goals

1.37Austin xG

1.46Seattle Sounders xG

64%Both score

55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–29%

0–19%

2–18%

1–08%

0–26%

From our goals model: Austin 1.4 – 1.5 Seattle Sounders expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Seattle Sounders to win ✗	41%	2.46	2.28
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	75%	1.33	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	64%	1.57	1.57
Draw no bet	Seattle Sounders (draw no bet) ✗	54%	1.85	–
Asian handicap	Austin +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	61%	1.65	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	77%	1.29	1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	55%	1.83	1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	67%	1.48	1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	83%	1.20	1.15
First team to score	Seattle Sounders to score first	49%	2.06	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	41%	2.44	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Seattle Sounders / FT Seattle Sounders ✗	23%	4.32	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.61	–

Austin – last 6

WLLLDW

8 Jul	vs Sporting JAX	4–0	W
3 Jul	vs Club Queretaro	0–1	L
17 May	vs Sporting Kansas City	1–2	L
14 May	@ San Diego	0–5	L
11 May	@ Minnesota United FC	2–2	D
26 Apr	vs Houston Dynamo	2–0	W

1.5Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Seattle Sounders – last 6

LLLWDW

17 Jul	vs Portland Timbers	1–5	L
25 May	@ Los Angeles FC	0–1	L
17 May	vs Los Angeles Galaxy	0–2	L
14 May	vs San Jose Earthquakes	3–2	W
10 May	vs San Diego	1–1	D
26 Apr	vs FC Dallas	2–1	W

1.2Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	34	19	7	8	+40	64
2	FC Dallas	34	16	10	8	+11	58
3	St. Louis City	34	15	9	10	+11	54
4	San Jose Earthquakes	34	14	10	10	+6	52
5	Houston Dynamo	34	14	9	11	0	51
6	Los Angeles FC	34	12	11	11	+12	47
7	Portland Timbers	34	13	7	14	+1	46
8	Seattle Sounders	34	12	10	12	-2	46
9	Real Salt Lake	34	13	6	15	+1	45
10	Minnesota United FC	34	11	11	12	-2	44
11	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	11	11	12	-7	44
12	Colorado Rapids	34	12	7	15	-3	43
13	San Diego	34	9	11	14	-6	38
14	Austin	34	8	10	16	-23	34
15	Sporting Kansas City	34	7	5	22	-41	26

Team

Pts

+40

+11

+11

+12

-2

-2

-7

-3

-6

-23

-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Austin vs Seattle Sounders?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Austin vs Seattle Sounders?

On our numbers Austin have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Seattle Sounders 41%.

How many goals will there be in Austin vs Seattle Sounders?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Austin vs Seattle Sounders?

Our predicted score is Austin 1–1 Seattle Sounders, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Austin vs Seattle Sounders?

Austin vs Seattle Sounders (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Q2 Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Austin v Seattle Sounders: numbers & prediction