Houston Dynamo v DC United Prediction & Expected Goals (23 Jul) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultHouston Dynamo to win ✗56% · @1.81

Double chanceHouston Dynamo or draw ✓81% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.65

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.21

Houston Dynamo vs DC United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:30 WAT, Thursday 23 July: Houston Dynamo v DC United in the Major League Soccer, played at Shell Energy Stadium. In the table, Houston Dynamo are 5th, upper half, on 51 points after 34 matches; DC United are 14th (in the drop zone) with 33. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Houston Dynamo, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over America de Cali, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

DC United, last 5: DDLDW Their latest outing: 4–4 draw with CF Montreal, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.

Momentum favours Houston Dynamo, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for DC United.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Houston Dynamo 1.8 xG, DC United 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Houston Dynamo 56%, draw 25%, DC United 19%.
Lower-risk option: Houston Dynamo or draw (81%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Houston Dynamo or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Houston Dynamo 1–0 DC United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Houston Dynamo56%fair 1.79 · @1.81

Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.75

DC United19%fair 5.17 · @4.00

2.69Expected goals

1.78Houston Dynamo xG

0.91DC United xG

59%Both score

53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%

1–111%

2–011%

2–110%

0–07%

3–06%

From our goals model: Houston Dynamo 1.8 – 0.9 DC United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Houston Dynamo to win ✗	56%	1.79	1.81
Double chance	Houston Dynamo or draw ✓	81%	1.24	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	59%	1.69	1.65
Draw no bet	Houston Dynamo (draw no bet)	74%	1.35	–
Asian handicap	DC United +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	67%	1.50	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	76%	1.31	1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	53%	1.89	1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	69%	1.45	1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	84%	1.19	1.15
First team to score	Houston Dynamo to score first ✓	62%	1.62	–
Half-time result	Houston Dynamo ahead at half-time ✓	42%	2.40	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Houston Dynamo / FT Houston Dynamo ✗	36%	2.77	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.21	–

Houston Dynamo – last 6

WWDWLW

16 Jul	vs America de Cali	2–1	W
12 Jul	vs CD Olimpia	3–0	W
24 May	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	1–1	D
17 May	vs Vancouver Whitecaps	1–0	W
14 May	@ Real Salt Lake	0–3	L
11 May	@ Los Angeles FC	4–1	W

1.8Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

DC United – last 6

DDLDWD

24 May	vs CF Montreal	4–4	D
17 May	vs St. Louis City	1–1	D
14 May	vs Chicago Fire	1–3	L
10 May	@ Nashville SC	2–2	D
26 Apr	vs Orlando City SC	3–2	W
23 Apr	@ New York Red Bulls	4–4	D

2.5Scored / game

2.7Conceded / game

100%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	34	19	7	8	+40	64
2	FC Dallas	34	16	10	8	+11	58
3	St. Louis City	34	15	9	10	+11	54
4	San Jose Earthquakes	34	14	10	10	+6	52
5	Houston Dynamo	34	14	9	11	0	51
6	Los Angeles FC	34	12	11	11	+12	47
7	Portland Timbers	34	13	7	14	+1	46
8	Seattle Sounders	34	12	10	12	-2	46
9	Real Salt Lake	34	13	6	15	+1	45
10	Minnesota United FC	34	11	11	12	-2	44
11	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	11	11	12	-7	44
12	Colorado Rapids	34	12	7	15	-3	43
13	San Diego	34	9	11	14	-6	38
14	Austin	34	8	10	16	-23	34
15	Sporting Kansas City	34	7	5	22	-41	26

Team

Pts

+40

+11

+11

+12

-2

-2

-7

-3

-6

-23

-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo vs DC United?

Our pick is Houston Dynamo or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Houston Dynamo vs DC United?

On our numbers Houston Dynamo have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and DC United 19%.

How many goals will there be in Houston Dynamo vs DC United?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Houston Dynamo vs DC United?

Our predicted score is Houston Dynamo 1–0 DC United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Houston Dynamo vs DC United?

Houston Dynamo vs DC United (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Shell Energy Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Houston Dynamo v DC United: numbers & prediction