Charlotte 54%Draw 22%Atlanta United FC 24%Expected goals 1.97 – 1.12
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Charlotte to win @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCharlotte to win ✗54% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 23 July the Major League Soccer brings Charlotte against Atlanta United FC at Bank of America Stadium. Kick-off: 01:15 WAT. In the table, Charlotte are 5th, upper half, on 54 points after 34 matches; Atlanta United FC are 13th (in the drop zone) with 33. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Charlotte, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over New England Revolution, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Atlanta United FC, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Nashville SC, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Charlotte, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Atlanta United FC.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Apr 2026) it ended Charlotte 0–2 Atlanta United FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Charlotte 2.0 xG, Atlanta United FC 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Charlotte 54%, draw 22%, Atlanta United FC 24%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Charlotte to win @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Charlotte 1–1 Atlanta United FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Charlotte54%fair 1.86 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.65
Atlanta United FC24%fair 4.10 · @3.35
3.09Expected goals
1.97Charlotte xG
1.12Atlanta United FC xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Charlotte 2.0 – 1.1 Atlanta United FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC?
On our numbers Charlotte have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atlanta United FC 24%.
How many goals will there be in Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC?
Our predicted score is Charlotte 1–1 Atlanta United FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC?
Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 01:15 (West Africa Time) at Bank of America Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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