Portland Timbers v FC Dallas Prediction & Expected Goals (23 Jul) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultPortland Timbers to win ✗42% · @2.28

Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.20

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.38

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.14

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.82

Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FC Dallas travel to face Portland Timbers on Thursday 23 July in the Major League Soccer, with Providence Park the venue – the ball rolls at 03:30 WAT. In the table, Portland Timbers are 7th, upper half, on 46 points after 34 matches; FC Dallas are 2nd (among the top four) with 58. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Portland Timbers, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Seattle Sounders, away. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.

FC Dallas, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Colorado Rapids, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Portland Timbers 1.9 xG, FC Dallas 1.7 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 69% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Portland Timbers 42%, draw 22%, FC Dallas 36%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.38.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portland Timbers 1–1 FC Dallas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Portland Timbers42%fair 2.40 · @2.28

Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.85

FC Dallas36%fair 2.76 · @2.70

3.52Expected goals

1.85Portland Timbers xG

1.67FC Dallas xG

69%Both score

67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%

2–18%

1–28%

2–27%

1–05%

3–15%

From our goals model: Portland Timbers 1.9 – 1.7 FC Dallas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Portland Timbers to win ✗	42%	2.40	2.28
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	78%	1.28	1.20
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	69%	1.45	1.38
Draw no bet	Portland Timbers (draw no bet)	54%	1.87	–
Asian handicap	FC Dallas +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	71%	1.40	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	85%	1.18	1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	67%	1.50	1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	54%	1.84	1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	72%	1.38	1.30
First team to score	Portland Timbers to score first ✗	51%	1.96	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	36%	2.78	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Portland Timbers / FT Portland Timbers ✗	26%	3.85	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	11.82	–

Portland Timbers – last 6

WLLDWW

17 Jul	@ Seattle Sounders	5–1	W
24 May	vs San Jose Earthquakes	1–3	L
17 May	@ Inter Miami	0–2	L
14 May	@ CF Montreal	2–2	D
10 May	vs Sporting Kansas City	6–0	W
26 Apr	@ San Diego	2–1	W

2.7Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

67%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

FC Dallas – last 6

WWLWWL

24 May	@ Colorado Rapids	2–1	W
17 May	@ San Jose Earthquakes	3–2	W
14 May	vs Vancouver Whitecaps	2–3	L
10 May	vs Real Salt Lake	3–1	W
3 May	@ New York Red Bulls	2–0	W
26 Apr	@ Seattle Sounders	1–2	L

2.2Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	34	19	7	8	+40	64
2	FC Dallas	34	16	10	8	+11	58
3	St. Louis City	34	15	9	10	+11	54
4	San Jose Earthquakes	34	14	10	10	+6	52
5	Houston Dynamo	34	14	9	11	0	51
6	Los Angeles FC	34	12	11	11	+12	47
7	Portland Timbers	34	13	7	14	+1	46
8	Seattle Sounders	34	12	10	12	-2	46
9	Real Salt Lake	34	13	6	15	+1	45
10	Minnesota United FC	34	11	11	12	-2	44
11	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	11	11	12	-7	44
12	Colorado Rapids	34	12	7	15	-3	43
13	San Diego	34	9	11	14	-6	38
14	Austin	34	8	10	16	-23	34
15	Sporting Kansas City	34	7	5	22	-41	26

Team

Pts

+40

+11

+11

+12

-2

-2

-7

-3

-6

-23

-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas?

On our numbers Portland Timbers have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC Dallas 36%.

How many goals will there be in Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas?

Our predicted score is Portland Timbers 1–1 FC Dallas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas?

Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at Providence Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Portland Timbers v FC Dallas: numbers & prediction