San Jose Earthquakes 43%Draw 20%St. Louis City 37%Expected goals 1.63 – 1.51
63%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: St. Louis City to win @ 3.20 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSan Jose Earthquakes to win ✗43% · @2.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.49
San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
St. Louis City travel to face San Jose Earthquakes on Sunday 16 August in the Major League Soccer, with PayPal Park the venue – the ball rolls at 03:30 WAT. In the table, San Jose Earthquakes are 4th, among the top four, on 52 points after 34 matches; St. Louis City are 3rd (among the top four) with 54. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
San Jose Earthquakes, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to FC Cincinnati, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
St. Louis City, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Real Salt Lake, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours St. Louis City, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.7 for San Jose Earthquakes.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended St. Louis City 2–3 San Jose Earthquakes.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Jose Earthquakes 1.6 xG, St. Louis City 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Jose Earthquakes 43%, draw 20%, St. Louis City 37%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.45.
Price worth noting: St. Louis City to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 St. Louis City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Jose Earthquakes43%fair 2.33 · @2.02
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @3.85
St. Louis City37%fair 2.68 · @3.20
3.14Expected goals
1.63San Jose Earthquakes xG
1.51St. Louis City xG
63%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–17%
From our goals model: San Jose Earthquakes 1.6 – 1.5 St. Louis City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Jose Earthquakes to win✗
43%
2.33
2.02
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.45
Draw no bet
San Jose Earthquakes (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
St. Louis City +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.25
First team to score
San Jose Earthquakes to score first✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Jose Earthquakes / FT San Jose Earthquakes✗
What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City?
On our numbers San Jose Earthquakes have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 20% and St. Louis City 37%.
How many goals will there be in San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City?
Our predicted score is San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 St. Louis City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City?
San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at PayPal Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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FC Cincinnati1
Atlanta United FC2
New York Red Bulls1
Charlotte3
Columbus Crew1
Toronto FC2
New England Revolution1
CF Montreal1
DC United1
Nashville SC4
Inter Miami1