New York City FC 45%Draw 21%Philadelphia Union 34%Expected goals 1.66 – 1.40
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultNew York City FC to win ✗45% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.08
New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 16 August the Major League Soccer brings New York City FC against Philadelphia Union at Yankee Stadium. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, New York City FC are 11th, lower half, on 42 points after 34 matches; Philadelphia Union are 6th (upper half) with 50.
Current form
New York City FC, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Necaxa, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Philadelphia Union, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Santos Laguna, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give New York City FC 1.7 xG, Philadelphia Union 1.4 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – New York City FC 45%, draw 21%, Philadelphia Union 34%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: New York City FC 1–1 Philadelphia Union. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
New York City FC45%fair 2.22 · @2.12
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.70
Philadelphia Union34%fair 2.93 · @3.05
3.06Expected goals
1.66New York City FC xG
1.40Philadelphia Union xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%
From our goals model: New York City FC 1.7 – 1.4 Philadelphia Union expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
New York City FC to win✗
45%
2.22
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.55
Draw no bet
New York City FC (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Philadelphia Union +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
80%
1.24
1.18
First team to score
New York City FC to score first✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT New York City FC / FT New York City FC✗
26%
3.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.08
–
Recent results
New York City FC – last 6
LLWDWW
14 Aug
vs Necaxa
1–2
L
10 Aug
@ Cruz Azul
1–2
L
7 Aug
vs Santos Laguna
2–0
W
1 Aug
vs Toronto FC
1–1
D
26 Jul
vs Chicago Fire
3–1
W
23 Jul
@ Columbus Crew
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union – last 6
LWLWWW
14 Aug
vs Santos Laguna
0–2
L
10 Aug
vs Necaxa
3–1
W
7 Aug
@ Cruz Azul
0–1
L
2 Aug
vs Atlanta United FC
3–2
W
26 Jul
vs Seattle Sounders
1–0
W
23 Jul
vs New York Red Bulls
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New York City FC and Philadelphia Union.
What is the prediction for New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union?
On our numbers New York City FC have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Philadelphia Union 34%.
How many goals will there be in New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union?
Our predicted score is New York City FC 1–1 Philadelphia Union, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union?
New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Yankee Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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