Philadelphia Union v Orlando City SC Prediction & Expected Goals (27 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultPhiladelphia Union to win ✓67% · @1.45

Double chancePhiladelphia Union or draw ✓87% · @1.12

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.40

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.11

Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Philadelphia Union welcome Orlando City SC to Talen Energy Stadium for a Major League Soccer fixture on Sunday 27 September (00:30 WAT). In the table, Philadelphia Union are 6th, upper half, on 50 points after 34 matches; Orlando City SC are 8th (upper half) with 46.

Current form

Philadelphia Union, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Sporting Kansas City, away. The attack is flying at 3.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Orlando City SC, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to New England Revolution, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Momentum favours Philadelphia Union, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.7 for Orlando City SC.

Head to head

When they last met (14 May 2026) it ended Orlando City SC 4–3 Philadelphia Union.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Philadelphia Union 2.7 xG, Orlando City SC 1.2 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 74% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Philadelphia Union 67%, draw 20%, Orlando City SC 13%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Philadelphia Union 2–1 Orlando City SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Philadelphia Union67%fair 1.49 · @1.45

Draw20%fair 5.12 · @5.00

Orlando City SC13%fair 7.60 · @6.00

3.83Expected goals

2.65Philadelphia Union xG

1.17Orlando City SC xG

66%Both score

74%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%

3–18%

2–08%

1–17%

3–07%

1–06%

From our goals model: Philadelphia Union 2.7 – 1.2 Orlando City SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Philadelphia Union to win ✓	67%	1.49	1.45
Double chance	Philadelphia Union or draw ✓	87%	1.15	1.12
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	66%	1.52	1.40
Draw no bet	Philadelphia Union (draw no bet) ✓	84%	1.20	–
Asian handicap	Philadelphia Union -1 (Asian handicap) ✓	61%	1.65	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	89%	1.12	1.07
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	74%	1.36	1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals ✓	54%	1.84	1.67
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	64%	1.55	1.50
First team to score	Philadelphia Union to score first ✓	68%	1.48	–
Half-time result	Philadelphia Union ahead at half-time ✓	52%	1.92	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Philadelphia Union / FT Philadelphia Union ✓	46%	2.15	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.11	–

Philadelphia Union – last 6

WWWWWD

20 Sep	@ Sporting Kansas City	4–3	W
14 Sep	@ San Diego	5–0	W
10 Sep	vs FC Cincinnati	5–0	W
6 Sep	vs CF Montreal	2–0	W
30 Aug	@ New York Red Bulls	3–1	W
23 Aug	@ Austin	1–1	D

3.3Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Orlando City SC – last 6

LLWWWD

20 Sep	@ New England Revolution	2–4	L
17 Sep	@ Columbus Crew	1–2	L
13 Sep	vs Toronto FC	3–0	W
10 Sep	@ Atlanta United FC	3–2	W
6 Sep	vs San Diego	1–0	W
30 Aug	@ Minnesota United FC	3–3	D

2.2Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

67%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	23	8	3	+46	77
2	Inter Miami	34	16	12	6	+21	60
3	New England Revolution	34	18	4	12	+8	58
4	Chicago Fire	34	16	7	11	+10	55
5	Charlotte	34	15	9	10	+15	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	14	8	12	+14	50
7	Columbus Crew	34	14	5	15	+7	47
8	Orlando City SC	34	13	7	14	-15	46
9	FC Cincinnati	34	12	10	12	-8	46
10	New York Red Bulls	34	12	6	16	-14	42
11	New York City FC	34	10	12	12	+4	42
12	Toronto FC	34	9	12	13	-15	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	9	6	19	-17	33
14	DC United	34	7	12	15	-22	33
15	CF Montreal	34	6	8	20	-32	26

Team

Pts

Nashville SC

+46

Inter Miami

+21

New England Revolution

+10

+15

+14

-15

-8

-14

-15

-17

-22

-32

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC?

On our numbers Philadelphia Union have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Orlando City SC 13%.

How many goals will there be in Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC?

Our predicted score is Philadelphia Union 2–1 Orlando City SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC?

Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Talen Energy Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Philadelphia Union v Orlando City SC: numbers & prediction