Value bet: FC Cincinnati to win @ 2.40 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFC Cincinnati to win ✗45% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · fair 1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.88
CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 27 September the Major League Soccer brings CF Montreal against FC Cincinnati at Saputo Stadium. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, CF Montreal are 15th, in the drop zone, on 26 points after 34 matches; FC Cincinnati are 9th (lower half) with 46. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
CF Montreal, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Columbus Crew, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
FC Cincinnati, last 5: DDLLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Houston Dynamo, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CF Montreal 1.7 xG, FC Cincinnati 1.9 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 69%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CF Montreal 35%, draw 20%, FC Cincinnati 45%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: FC Cincinnati to win @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: CF Montreal 1–1 FC Cincinnati. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CF Montreal35%fair 2.85 · @2.70
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @3.80
FC Cincinnati45%fair 2.23 · @2.40
3.63Expected goals
1.69CF Montreal xG
1.93FC Cincinnati xG
69%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–28%
2–17%
2–27%
1–35%
0–15%
From our goals model: CF Montreal 1.7 – 1.9 FC Cincinnati expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Cincinnati to win✗
45%
2.23
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.46
1.40
Draw no bet
FC Cincinnati (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
CF Montreal +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.16
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.73
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.30
First team to score
FC Cincinnati to score first✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
FC Cincinnati ahead at half-time✗
35%
2.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Cincinnati / FT FC Cincinnati✗
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.88
–
Recent results
CF Montreal – last 6
LWLLLD
20 Sep
vs Columbus Crew
0–2
L
17 Sep
vs Vancouver Whitecaps
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Colorado Rapids
0–1
L
10 Sep
vs Charlotte
1–2
L
6 Sep
@ Philadelphia Union
0–2
L
3 Sep
@ Vancouver Whitecaps
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
FC Cincinnati – last 6
DDLLDW
20 Sep
@ Houston Dynamo
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Charlotte
3–3
D
10 Sep
@ Philadelphia Union
0–5
L
30 Aug
@ Nashville SC
0–4
L
23 Aug
vs Seattle Sounders
1–1
D
20 Aug
vs New York City FC
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CF Montreal and FC Cincinnati.
What is the prediction for CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati?
On our numbers CF Montreal have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC Cincinnati 45%.
How many goals will there be in CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati?
Our predicted score is CF Montreal 1–1 FC Cincinnati, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati?
CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Saputo Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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