Nashville SC v Toronto FC Prediction & Expected Goals (27 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultNashville SC to win ✓70% · @1.40

Double chanceNashville SC or draw ✓89% · @1.11

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.62

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.46

Nashville SC vs Toronto FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:30 WAT, Sunday 27 September: Nashville SC v Toronto FC in the Major League Soccer, played at Geodis Park. In the table, Nashville SC are 1st, leading the league, on 77 points after 34 matches; Toronto FC are 12th (lower half) with 39. There are 38 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Nashville SC, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Chicago Fire, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Toronto FC, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to St. Louis City, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Nashville SC, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Toronto FC.

Head to head

When they last met (10 Sep 2026) it ended Toronto FC 2–1 Nashville SC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nashville SC 2.3 xG, Toronto FC 0.8 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Nashville SC 70%, draw 19%, Toronto FC 11%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Nashville SC to win (70%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nashville SC 2–0 Toronto FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nashville SC70%fair 1.43 · @1.40

Draw19%fair 5.17 · @4.60

Toronto FC11%fair 9.36 · @6.00

3.12Expected goals

2.31Nashville SC xG

0.81Toronto FC xG

60%Both score

60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%

1–010%

2–110%

3–09%

1–18%

3–17%

From our goals model: Nashville SC 2.3 – 0.8 Toronto FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Nashville SC to win ✓	70%	1.43	1.40
Double chance	Nashville SC or draw ✓	89%	1.12	1.11
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	60%	1.66	1.62
Draw no bet	Nashville SC (draw no bet) ✓	87%	1.15	–
Asian handicap	Nashville SC -1 (Asian handicap) ✓	62%	1.61	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	82%	1.22	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	60%	1.66	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	62%	1.61	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	79%	1.26	–
First team to score	Nashville SC to score first ✓	71%	1.42	–
Half-time result	Nashville SC ahead at half-time ✓	52%	1.94	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Nashville SC / FT Nashville SC ✓	47%	2.12	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.46	–

Nashville SC – last 6

WDLDWW

20 Sep	vs Chicago Fire	3–0	W
13 Sep	@ Inter Miami	2–2	D
10 Sep	@ Toronto FC	1–2	L
5 Sep	@ New York City FC	0–0	D
30 Aug	vs FC Cincinnati	4–0	W
23 Aug	vs Columbus Crew	3–2	W

2.2Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Toronto FC – last 6

LLWDDW

20 Sep	@ St. Louis City	1–3	L
13 Sep	@ Orlando City SC	0–3	L
10 Sep	vs Nashville SC	2–1	W
6 Sep	vs Chicago Fire	4–4	D
30 Aug	vs New York City FC	1–1	D
23 Aug	@ Inter Miami	2–1	W

1.7Scored / game

2.2Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	23	8	3	+46	77
2	Inter Miami	34	16	12	6	+21	60
3	New England Revolution	34	18	4	12	+8	58
4	Chicago Fire	34	16	7	11	+10	55
5	Charlotte	34	15	9	10	+15	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	14	8	12	+14	50
7	Columbus Crew	34	14	5	15	+7	47
8	Orlando City SC	34	13	7	14	-15	46
9	FC Cincinnati	34	12	10	12	-8	46
10	New York Red Bulls	34	12	6	16	-14	42
11	New York City FC	34	10	12	12	+4	42
12	Toronto FC	34	9	12	13	-15	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	9	6	19	-17	33
14	DC United	34	7	12	15	-22	33
15	CF Montreal	34	6	8	20	-32	26

Team

Pts

Nashville SC

+46

Inter Miami

+21

New England Revolution

+10

+15

+14

-15

-8

-14

-15

-17

-22

-32

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nashville SC vs Toronto FC?

Our pick is Nashville SC to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Nashville SC vs Toronto FC?

On our numbers Nashville SC have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Toronto FC 11%.

How many goals will there be in Nashville SC vs Toronto FC?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nashville SC vs Toronto FC?

Our predicted score is Nashville SC 2–0 Toronto FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Nashville SC vs Toronto FC?

Nashville SC vs Toronto FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Geodis Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Nashville SC v Toronto FC: numbers & prediction

Nashville SC

Toronto FC

Nashville SC to win

Picks by market

Nashville SC vs Toronto FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Current form

Head to head

Where the goals come from

Markets worth a look

Our call before kick-off

Result chances

Score grid: top six

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Recent results

Nashville SC – last 6

Toronto FC – last 6

Head to head

Major League Soccer table

More Major League Soccer predictions

Frequently asked questions