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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Charlotte v Chicago Fire: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · Bank of America Stadium
0–1
FT
Charlotte 47%Draw 20%Chicago Fire 33% Expected goals 1.81 – 1.46
64%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.48Odds

Picks by market

ResultCharlotte to win ✗47% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.01

Charlotte vs Chicago Fire: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:30 WAT, Sunday 27 September: Charlotte v Chicago Fire in the Major League Soccer, played at Bank of America Stadium. In the table, Charlotte are 5th, upper half, on 54 points after 34 matches; Chicago Fire are 4th (among the top four) with 55. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Charlotte, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over DC United, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Chicago Fire, last 5: LLDDD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Nashville SC, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Charlotte, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.5 for Chicago Fire.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Aug 2026) it ended Chicago Fire 2–1 Charlotte.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Charlotte 1.8 xG, Chicago Fire 1.5 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Charlotte 47%, draw 20%, Chicago Fire 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Charlotte 2–1 Chicago Fire. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Charlotte47%fair 2.11 · @2.10
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.80
Chicago Fire33%fair 3.07 · @3.20
3.28Expected goals
1.81Charlotte xG
1.46Chicago Fire xG
65%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%

From our goals model: Charlotte 1.8 – 1.5 Chicago Fire expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCharlotte to win ✗47%2.112.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗65%1.551.40
Draw no betCharlotte (draw no bet) ✗59%1.69–
Asian handicapChicago Fire +1 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84%1.191.12
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗64%1.571.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓57%1.751.67
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓75%1.331.28
First team to scoreCharlotte to score first ✗53%1.88–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓37%2.67–
Half-time / full-timeHT Charlotte / FT Charlotte ✗28%3.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.01–

Recent results

Charlotte – last 6

WDWDWW
20 Sep@ DC United2–1W
13 Sep@ FC Cincinnati3–3D
10 Sep@ CF Montreal2–1W
6 Sepvs Houston Dynamo0–0D
30 Aug@ Atlanta United FC2–0W
23 Augvs DC United3–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Chicago Fire – last 6

LLDDDL
20 Sep@ Nashville SC0–3L
13 Sepvs New England Revolution1–2L
10 Sepvs Inter Miami1–1D
6 Sep@ Toronto FC4–4D
29 Aug@ Seattle Sounders2–2D
26 Aug@ Monterrey1–2L
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Aug 2026Chicago Fire v Charlotte2–1
Charlotte vs Chicago Fire head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC342383+4677
2Inter Miami3416126+2160
3New England Revolution3418412+858
4Chicago Fire3416711+1055
5Charlotte3415910+1554
6Philadelphia Union3414812+1450
7Columbus Crew3414515+747
8Orlando City SC3413714-1546
9FC Cincinnati34121012-846
10New York Red Bulls3412616-1442
11New York City FC34101212+442
12Toronto FC3491213-1539
13Atlanta United FC349619-1733
14DC United3471215-2233
15CF Montreal346820-3226

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Charlotte vs Chicago Fire?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Charlotte vs Chicago Fire?

On our numbers Charlotte have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Chicago Fire 33%.

How many goals will there be in Charlotte vs Chicago Fire?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Charlotte vs Chicago Fire?

Our predicted score is Charlotte 2–1 Chicago Fire, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Charlotte vs Chicago Fire?

Charlotte vs Chicago Fire (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Bank of America Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.