Atlanta United FC 41%Draw 21%New York City FC 37%Expected goals 1.47 – 1.38
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: New York City FC to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAtlanta United FC to win ✗41% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.58
Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
New York City FC travel to face Atlanta United FC on Sunday 27 September in the Major League Soccer, with Atlanta Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT. In the table, Atlanta United FC are 13th, in the drop zone, on 33 points after 34 matches; New York City FC are 11th (lower half) with 42.
Current form
Atlanta United FC, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Portland Timbers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
New York City FC, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to New York Red Bulls, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlanta United FC 1.5 xG, New York City FC 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlanta United FC 41%, draw 21%, New York City FC 37%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: New York City FC to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlanta United FC 1–1 New York City FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlanta United FC41%fair 2.41 · @2.25
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.60
New York City FC37%fair 2.68 · @3.00
2.85Expected goals
1.47Atlanta United FC xG
1.38New York City FC xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Atlanta United FC 1.5 – 1.4 New York City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlanta United FC to win✗
41%
2.41
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.57
Draw no bet
Atlanta United FC (draw no bet)
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
New York City FC +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.17
First team to score
Atlanta United FC to score first
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlanta United FC / FT Atlanta United FC✗
23%
4.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.58
–
Recent results
Atlanta United FC – last 6
WDLDLW
20 Sep
@ Portland Timbers
1–0
W
13 Sep
@ DC United
0–0
D
10 Sep
vs Orlando City SC
2–3
L
6 Sep
@ Inter Miami
2–2
D
30 Aug
vs Charlotte
0–2
L
24 Aug
vs Sporting Kansas City
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
New York City FC – last 6
LWLDDD
19 Sep
vs New York Red Bulls
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Real Salt Lake
2–0
W
10 Sep
vs New England Revolution
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Nashville SC
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Toronto FC
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ New England Revolution
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlanta United FC and New York City FC.
What is the prediction for Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC?
On our numbers Atlanta United FC have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and New York City FC 37%.
How many goals will there be in Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC?
Our predicted score is Atlanta United FC 1–1 New York City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC?
Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Atlanta Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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