Value bet: Portland Timbers to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPortland Timbers to win ✓58% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · fair 1.51
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.49
Portland Timbers vs Charlotte: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
03:30 WAT, Sunday 25 October: Portland Timbers v Charlotte in the Major League Soccer, played at Providence Park. In the table, Portland Timbers are 7th, upper half, on 46 points after 34 matches; Charlotte are 5th (upper half) with 54.
Current form
Portland Timbers, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Colorado Rapids, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Charlotte, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Philadelphia Union, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Charlotte, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Portland Timbers.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Portland Timbers 2.1 xG, Charlotte 1.3 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Portland Timbers 58%, draw 17%, Charlotte 26%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.33.
Price worth noting: Portland Timbers to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portland Timbers 2–1 Charlotte. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Portland Timbers58%fair 1.73 · @1.85
Draw17%fair 5.97 · @3.80
Charlotte26%fair 3.92 · @3.30
3.42Expected goals
2.11Portland Timbers xG
1.31Charlotte xG
68%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–07%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Portland Timbers 2.1 – 1.3 Charlotte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portland Timbers to win✓
58%
1.73
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.47
1.33
Draw no bet
Portland Timbers (draw no bet)✓
69%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Charlotte +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
First team to score
Portland Timbers to score first
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Portland Timbers ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portland Timbers / FT Portland Timbers✓
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.49
–
Recent results
Portland Timbers – last 6
DLDLLL
18 Oct
vs Colorado Rapids
0–0
D
15 Oct
@ Los Angeles Galaxy
0–2
L
11 Oct
@ Sporting Kansas City
3–3
D
27 Sep
@ San Jose Earthquakes
1–3
L
20 Sep
vs Atlanta United FC
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ FC Dallas
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Charlotte – last 6
DLWLWD
17 Oct
@ Philadelphia Union
2–2
D
15 Oct
@ Columbus Crew
1–3
L
11 Oct
vs FC Dallas
3–2
W
27 Sep
vs Chicago Fire
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ DC United
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ FC Cincinnati
3–3
D
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portland Timbers and Charlotte.
What is the prediction for Portland Timbers vs Charlotte?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Portland Timbers vs Charlotte?
On our numbers Portland Timbers have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Charlotte 26%.
How many goals will there be in Portland Timbers vs Charlotte?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portland Timbers vs Charlotte?
Our predicted score is Portland Timbers 2–1 Charlotte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Portland Timbers vs Charlotte?
Portland Timbers vs Charlotte (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at Providence Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.