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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Indy Eleven v Detroit City: numbers & prediction

USL Championship · USA · Michael A. Carroll Stadium

Indy Eleven

W
2–1
FT

Detroit City

W
Indy Eleven 35%Draw 28%Detroit City 36% Expected goals 0.98 – 1.11
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultDetroit City to win ✗36% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.40

Indy Eleven vs Detroit City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:00 WAT, Sunday 22 March: Indy Eleven v Detroit City in the USL Championship, played at Michael A. Carroll Stadium. In the table, Indy Eleven are 9th, lower half, on 34 points after 30 matches; Detroit City are 3rd (among the top four) with 51. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Indy Eleven 1.0 xG, Detroit City 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Indy Eleven 35%, draw 28%, Detroit City 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Indy Eleven 0–1 Detroit City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Indy Eleven35%fair 2.83 · @2.25
Draw28%fair 3.51 · @3.25
Detroit City36%fair 2.76 · @2.85
2.09Expected goals
0.98Indy Eleven xG
1.11Detroit City xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–012%
0–28%
1–27%

From our goals model: Indy Eleven 1.0 – 1.1 Detroit City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Indy ElevenDetroit City
Attack vs USL Championship average-20%-20%
Goals conceded vs average+4%-37%
Our expected goals here0.761.01

Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDetroit City to win ✗36%2.762.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.401.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.901.70
Draw no betDetroit City (draw no bet) ✗51%1.97–
Asian handicapIndy Eleven +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.501.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗59%1.711.80 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.281.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
First team to scoreDetroit City to score first ✗47%2.15–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗49%2.05–
Half-time / full-timeHT Detroit City / FT Detroit City ✗22%4.63–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7%13.40–

Recent results

Indy Eleven – last 1

W
18 Marvs Des Moines Menace3–0W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Detroit City – last 1

W
18 Marvs Michigan Rangers5–1W
5.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Indy Eleven and Detroit City.

Indy Eleven vs Detroit City head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies301875+2661
2Charleston Battery301659+2153
3Detroit City301497+1351
4Louisville City301389+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds3013611+345
6Hartford Athletic3010137+243
7Rhode Island3012612+942
8Miami FC309912-1036
9Indy Eleven309714-634
10Loudoun United3061311-1031
11Birmingham Legion3061212-630
12Brooklyn305619-2921
13Sporting JAX303522-4614

More USL Championship predictions

League hub
FT Brooklyn1 Hartford Athletic2 127%3.30X24%3.30249%2.05 1.1–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓
FT Charleston Battery3 Birmingham Legion2 162%1.48X22%3.90216%6.00 1.8–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.22 ✓
FT Tampa Bay Rowdies3 Pittsburgh Riverhounds0 143%2.15X28%3.20229%3.10 1.4–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT FC Tulsa3 Las Vegas Lights2 156%1.62X25%3.60218%4.80 1.5–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✗
FT San Antonio1 New Mexico United0 136%2.25X28%3.20236%2.90 1.0–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.28 ✓
FT Orange County SC1 Colorado Springs0 133%2.75X26%3.20241%2.40 1.3–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.30 ✗
FT Phoenix Rising2 Oakland Roots2 142%2.20X25%3.25233%2.90 1.4–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓
FT Sacramento Republic1 Monterey Bay1 163%1.45X23%3.75214%6.75 1.6–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Indy Eleven vs Detroit City?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Indy Eleven vs Detroit City?

On our numbers Indy Eleven have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Detroit City 36%.

How many goals will there be in Indy Eleven vs Detroit City?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Indy Eleven vs Detroit City?

Our predicted score is Indy Eleven 0–1 Detroit City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Indy Eleven vs Detroit City?

Indy Eleven vs Detroit City (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Michael A. Carroll Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.