San Antonio vs New Mexico United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:30 WAT, Sunday 22 March: San Antonio v New Mexico United in the USL Championship, played at Toyota Field. In the table, San Antonio are 6th, upper half, on 45 points after 30 matches; New Mexico United are 1st (leading the league) with 52.
Current form
San Antonio, last 3: WDW Their latest outing: 6–0 win over New Stars, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Antonio 1.0 xG, New Mexico United 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Antonio 36%, draw 28%, New Mexico United 36%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Antonio 1–1 New Mexico United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Antonio36%fair 2.74 · @2.25
Draw28%fair 3.60 · @3.20
New Mexico United36%fair 2.80 · @2.90
2.18Expected goals
1.04San Antonio xG
1.13New Mexico United xG
57%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: San Antonio 1.0 – 1.1 New Mexico United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
San Antonio
New Mexico United
Attack vs USL Championship average
-24%
+23%
Goals conceded vs average
-26%
-22%
Our expected goals here
0.89
1.12
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Antonio to win✓
36%
2.74
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.38
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.70
Draw no bet
San Antonio (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
San Antonio +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
New Mexico United to score first✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT New Mexico United / FT New Mexico United✗
21%
4.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
14.28
–
Recent results
San Antonio – last 3
WDW
19 Mar
vs New Stars
6–0
W
15 Mar
@ FC Tulsa
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Phoenix Rising
2–1
W
2.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
New Mexico United – last 2
WL
19 Mar
vs Cruizers
3–2
W
15 Mar
@ Oakland Roots
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Antonio and New Mexico United.
What is the prediction for San Antonio vs New Mexico United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win San Antonio vs New Mexico United?
On our numbers San Antonio have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 28% and New Mexico United 36%.
How many goals will there be in San Antonio vs New Mexico United?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Antonio vs New Mexico United?
Our predicted score is San Antonio 1–1 New Mexico United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is San Antonio vs New Mexico United?
San Antonio vs New Mexico United (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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