FC Tulsa vs Las Vegas Lights: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:00 WAT, Sunday 22 March: FC Tulsa v Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship, played at ONEOK Field. In the table, FC Tulsa are 7th, lower half, on 43 points after 30 matches; Las Vegas Lights are 11th (in the drop zone) with 36.
Current form
FC Tulsa, last 3: WDL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Little Rock Rangers, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Tulsa 1.5 xG, Las Vegas Lights 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Tulsa 56%, draw 25%, Las Vegas Lights 18%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Tulsa 1–0 Las Vegas Lights. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Tulsa56%fair 1.77 · @1.62
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.60
Las Vegas Lights18%fair 5.44 · @4.80
2.40Expected goals
1.54FC Tulsa xG
0.86Las Vegas Lights xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: FC Tulsa 1.5 – 0.9 Las Vegas Lights expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
FC Tulsa
Las Vegas Lights
Attack vs USL Championship average
-15%
-1%
Goals conceded vs average
-22%
+11%
Our expected goals here
1.42
0.94
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Tulsa to win✓
56%
1.77
1.62
Double chance
FC Tulsa or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.85
Draw no bet
FC Tulsa (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Las Vegas Lights +1 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
FC Tulsa to score first
58%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Tulsa / FT FC Tulsa✗
32%
3.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.80
–
Recent results
FC Tulsa – last 3
WDL
19 Mar
@ Little Rock Rangers
4–2
W
15 Mar
vs San Antonio
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Sacramento Republic
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Las Vegas Lights – last 1
D
8 Mar
@ Orange County SC
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Tulsa and Las Vegas Lights.
What is the prediction for FC Tulsa vs Las Vegas Lights?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win FC Tulsa vs Las Vegas Lights?
On our numbers FC Tulsa have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Las Vegas Lights 18%.
How many goals will there be in FC Tulsa vs Las Vegas Lights?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Tulsa vs Las Vegas Lights?
Our predicted score is FC Tulsa 1–0 Las Vegas Lights, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is FC Tulsa vs Las Vegas Lights?
FC Tulsa vs Las Vegas Lights (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at ONEOK Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Indy Eleven2
Detroit City1
Brooklyn1
Hartford Athletic2
Charleston Battery3
Birmingham Legion2
Tampa Bay Rowdies3
Pittsburgh Riverhounds0