Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 22 March the USL Championship brings Tampa Bay Rowdies against Pittsburgh Riverhounds at Al Lang Stadium. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, Tampa Bay Rowdies are 1st, leading the league, on 61 points after 30 matches; Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 5th (upper half) with 45. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tampa Bay Rowdies 1.4 xG, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tampa Bay Rowdies 43%, draw 28%, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 29%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tampa Bay Rowdies 1–0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tampa Bay Rowdies43%fair 2.33 · @2.15
Draw28%fair 3.57 · @3.20
Pittsburgh Riverhounds29%fair 3.43 · @3.10
2.39Expected goals
1.40Tampa Bay Rowdies xG
0.99Pittsburgh Riverhounds xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–09%
0–19%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Tampa Bay Rowdies 1.4 – 1.0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Attack vs USL Championship average
+12%
-24%
Goals conceded vs average
-25%
-31%
Our expected goals here
1.16
0.69
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tampa Bay Rowdies to win✓
43%
2.33
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.80
Draw no bet
Tampa Bay Rowdies (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Pittsburgh Riverhounds +1 (Asian handicap)✗
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Tampa Bay Rowdies to score first✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tampa Bay Rowdies / FT Tampa Bay Rowdies✓
27%
3.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.25
–
Recent results
Tampa Bay Rowdies – last 2
WW
8 Mar
@ Birmingham Legion
1–0
W
19 Feb
vs Naples
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pittsburgh Riverhounds – last 2
LW
8 Mar
@ Charleston Battery
1–2
L
13 Feb
vs Loudoun United
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tampa Bay Rowdies and Pittsburgh Riverhounds.
What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
On our numbers Tampa Bay Rowdies have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Pittsburgh Riverhounds 29%.
How many goals will there be in Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Our predicted score is Tampa Bay Rowdies 1–0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Al Lang Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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