Double chanceSacramento Republic or draw ✓86% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.99
Sacramento Republic vs Monterey Bay: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sacramento Republic welcome Monterey Bay to Heart Health Park for a USL Championship fixture on Sunday 22 March (03:00 WAT). In the table, Sacramento Republic are 2nd, among the top four, on 51 points after 30 matches; Monterey Bay are 12th (in the drop zone) with 24. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sacramento Republic, last 3: DDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with El Farolito, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sacramento Republic 1.6 xG, Monterey Bay 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sacramento Republic 63%, draw 23%, Monterey Bay 14%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sacramento Republic 1–0 Monterey Bay. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sacramento Republic63%fair 1.58 · @1.45
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.75
Monterey Bay14%fair 7.06 · @6.75
2.29Expected goals
1.64Sacramento Republic xG
0.64Monterey Bay xG
48%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Sacramento Republic 1.6 – 0.6 Monterey Bay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sacramento Republic
Monterey Bay
Attack vs USL Championship average
+11%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
-27%
+13%
Our expected goals here
1.88
0.78
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sacramento Republic to win✗
63%
1.58
1.45
Double chance
Sacramento Republic or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.65
Draw no bet
Sacramento Republic (draw no bet)
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Sacramento Republic -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Sacramento Republic to score first
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sacramento Republic / FT Sacramento Republic✗
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.99
–
Recent results
Sacramento Republic – last 3
DDW
19 Mar
vs El Farolito
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Lexington
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs FC Tulsa
2–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Monterey Bay – last 2
LL
15 Mar
vs El Paso Locomotive
0–3
L
8 Mar
vs Oakland Roots
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sacramento Republic and Monterey Bay.
What is the prediction for Sacramento Republic vs Monterey Bay?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Sacramento Republic vs Monterey Bay?
On our numbers Sacramento Republic have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Monterey Bay 14%.
How many goals will there be in Sacramento Republic vs Monterey Bay?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sacramento Republic vs Monterey Bay?
Our predicted score is Sacramento Republic 1–0 Monterey Bay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Sacramento Republic vs Monterey Bay?
Sacramento Republic vs Monterey Bay (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Heart Health Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Indy Eleven2
Detroit City1
Brooklyn1
Hartford Athletic2
Charleston Battery3
Birmingham Legion2
Tampa Bay Rowdies3
Pittsburgh Riverhounds0