Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultFluminense to win ✓58% · @1.73
Double chanceFluminense or draw ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Fluminense vs Atletico Paranaense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Sunday 15 March: Fluminense v Atletico Paranaense in the Serie A, played at Estádio do Maracanã. In the table, Fluminense are 4th, among the top four, on 57 points after 34 matches; Atletico Paranaense are 5th (upper half) with 54. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Fluminense, last 4: WLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over remo, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Atletico Paranaense, last 3: DLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with RB Bragantino, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Fluminense, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.3 for Atletico Paranaense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fluminense 1.8 xG, Atletico Paranaense 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fluminense 58%, draw 22%, Atletico Paranaense 19%.
Lower-risk option: Fluminense or draw (81%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Fluminense to win (58%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fluminense 1–0 Atletico Paranaense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fluminense58%fair 1.72 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.50
Atletico Paranaense19%fair 5.16 · @4.50
2.76Expected goals
1.80Fluminense xG
0.96Atletico Paranaense xG
52%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
3–06%
From our goals model: Fluminense 1.8 – 1.0 Atletico Paranaense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Fluminense
Atletico Paranaense
Attack vs Serie A average
+22%
+14%
Goals conceded vs average
-8%
+15%
Our expected goals here
2.14
1.20
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fluminense to win✓
58%
1.72
1.73
Double chance
Fluminense or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.85
Draw no bet
Fluminense (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Atletico Paranaense +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Fluminense to score first
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Fluminense ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fluminense / FT Fluminense✓
36%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.16
–
Recent results
Fluminense – last 4
WLWW
12 Mar
@ remo
2–0
W
26 Feb
@ Palmeiras
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Vasco DA Gama
1–0
W
16 Feb
vs Bangu
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Atletico Paranaense – last 3
DLL
25 Feb
@ RB Bragantino
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Londrina
0–1
L
19 Feb
vs Corinthians
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fluminense and Atletico Paranaense.
What is the prediction for Fluminense vs Atletico Paranaense?
Our pick is Fluminense to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Fluminense vs Atletico Paranaense?
On our numbers Fluminense have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atletico Paranaense 19%.
How many goals will there be in Fluminense vs Atletico Paranaense?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fluminense vs Atletico Paranaense?
Our predicted score is Fluminense 1–0 Atletico Paranaense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Fluminense vs Atletico Paranaense?
Fluminense vs Atletico Paranaense (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
