Palmeiras vs Mirassol: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:30 WAT, Sunday 15 March: Palmeiras v Mirassol in the Serie A, played at Allianz Parque. In the table, Palmeiras are 2nd, among the top four, on 73 points after 34 matches; Mirassol are 14th (lower half) with 40. There are 33 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Palmeiras, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Vasco DA Gama, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Palmeiras 2.3 xG, Mirassol 0.9 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Palmeiras 63%, draw 21%, Mirassol 16%.
Lower-risk option: Palmeiras or draw (84%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Palmeiras to win (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Palmeiras 2–0 Mirassol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Palmeiras63%fair 1.58 · @1.57
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.90
Mirassol16%fair 6.27 · @5.00
3.22Expected goals
2.32Palmeiras xG
0.90Mirassol xG
56%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
2–110%
1–09%
1–18%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Palmeiras 2.3 – 0.9 Mirassol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Palmeiras
Mirassol
Attack vs Serie A average
+41%
-9%
Goals conceded vs average
-42%
-2%
Our expected goals here
2.11
0.61
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Palmeiras to win
63%
1.58
1.57
Double chance
Palmeiras or draw
84%
1.19
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.79
1.75
Draw no bet
Palmeiras (draw no bet)
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Palmeiras -0.5 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
78%
1.29
–
First team to score
Palmeiras to score first
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Palmeiras ahead at half-time
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Palmeiras / FT Palmeiras
46%
2.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.33
–
Recent results
Palmeiras – last 6
LWWWWW
12 Mar
@ Vasco DA Gama
1–2
L
9 Mar
@ Novorizontino
2–1
W
5 Mar
vs Novorizontino
1–0
W
2 Mar
vs Sao Paulo
2–1
W
26 Feb
vs Fluminense
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Capivariano
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Mirassol – last 2
DL
11 Mar
vs Santos
2–2
D
16 Feb
vs Portuguesa
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Palmeiras and Mirassol.
Our pick is Palmeiras to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Palmeiras vs Mirassol?
On our numbers Palmeiras have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mirassol 16%.
How many goals will there be in Palmeiras vs Mirassol?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Palmeiras vs Mirassol?
Our predicted score is Palmeiras 2–0 Mirassol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Palmeiras vs Mirassol?
Palmeiras vs Mirassol (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Parque.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
