Internacional vs Bahia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 March the Serie A brings Internacional against Bahia at Estádio Beira-Rio. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Internacional are 16th, lower half, on 38 points after 34 matches; Bahia are 6th (upper half) with 53. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Internacional, last 4: LDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Atletico-MG, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Bahia, last 3: DWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Vitoria, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Internacional 1.3 xG, Bahia 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Internacional 48%, draw 27%, Bahia 25%.
Lower-risk option: Internacional or draw (75%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Internacional or draw (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Internacional 1–0 Bahia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Internacional48%fair 2.08 · @1.95
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.25
Bahia25%fair 3.94 · @3.60
2.27Expected goals
1.30Internacional xG
0.97Bahia xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Internacional 1.3 – 1.0 Bahia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Internacional
Bahia
Attack vs Serie A average
-15%
+9%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
+0%
Our expected goals here
1.30
1.17
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Internacional to win✗
48%
2.08
1.95
Double chance
Internacional or draw✗
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.75
Draw no bet
Internacional (draw no bet)✗
65%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
Bahia +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Internacional to score first✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Internacional / FT Internacional✗
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.83
–
Recent results
Internacional – last 4
LDWL
11 Mar
@ Atletico-MG
0–1
L
25 Feb
@ remo
1–1
D
16 Feb
@ Ypiranga-RS
3–0
W
13 Feb
vs Palmeiras
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Bahia – last 3
DWL
12 Mar
vs Vitoria
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Atlético Alagoinhas
4–2
W
18 Feb
@ O'Higgins
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Internacional and Bahia.
What is the prediction for Internacional vs Bahia?
Our pick is Internacional or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Internacional vs Bahia?
On our numbers Internacional have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Bahia 25%.
How many goals will there be in Internacional vs Bahia?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Internacional vs Bahia?
Our predicted score is Internacional 1–0 Bahia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Internacional vs Bahia?
Internacional vs Bahia (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Beira-Rio.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
