Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Picks by market
ResultSantos to win ✗46% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.44
Santos vs Corinthians: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Santos welcome Corinthians to Estádio Urbano Caldeira for a Serie A fixture on Sunday 15 March (20:00 WAT). In the table, Santos are 9th, upper half, on 47 points after 34 matches; Corinthians are 17th (lower half) with 37.
Current form
Santos, last 4: DWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Mirassol, away. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.
Corinthians, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Coritiba, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santos 1.6 xG, Corinthians 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santos 46%, draw 26%, Corinthians 29%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.67, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santos 1–1 Corinthians. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santos46%fair 2.19 · @2.25
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.10
Corinthians29%fair 3.47 · @3.00
2.72Expected goals
1.64Santos xG
1.08Corinthians xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Santos 1.6 – 1.1 Corinthians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Santos
Corinthians
Attack vs Serie A average
+11%
-15%
Goals conceded vs average
-7%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.75
0.90
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santos to win✗
46%
2.19
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.34
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Santos (draw no bet)
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Corinthians +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Santos to score first
56%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santos / FT Santos✗
31%
3.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.44
–
Recent results
Santos – last 4
DWLW
11 Mar
@ Mirassol
2–2
D
26 Feb
vs Vasco DA Gama
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Novorizontino
1–2
L
16 Feb
vs Velo Clube
7–0
W
3.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Corinthians – last 5
LLDWW
12 Mar
vs Coritiba
0–2
L
1 Mar
@ Novorizontino
0–1
L
26 Feb
@ Cruzeiro
1–1
D
19 Feb
@ Atletico Paranaense
1–0
W
16 Feb
@ São Bernardo
1–0
W
0.6Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santos and Corinthians.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Santos vs Corinthians?
On our numbers Santos have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Corinthians 29%.
How many goals will there be in Santos vs Corinthians?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santos vs Corinthians?
Our predicted score is Santos 1–1 Corinthians, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Santos vs Corinthians?
Santos vs Corinthians (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Urbano Caldeira.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
