Value bet: Vasco DA Gama to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVasco DA Gama to win ✗38% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.80
Coritiba vs Vasco DA Gama: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Coritiba welcome Vasco DA Gama to Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira for a Serie A fixture on Thursday 2 April (00:30 WAT). In the table, Coritiba are 12th, lower half, on 42 points after 34 matches; Vasco DA Gama are 13th (lower half) with 41. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Coritiba, last 3: WWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Mirassol, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Vasco DA Gama, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Fluminense, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Coritiba, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.4 for Vasco DA Gama.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Coritiba 1.3 xG, Vasco DA Gama 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Coritiba 36%, draw 26%, Vasco DA Gama 38%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Vasco DA Gama to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Coritiba 1–1 Vasco DA Gama. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Coritiba36%fair 2.80 · @2.54
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.15
Vasco DA Gama38%fair 2.64 · @2.80
2.63Expected goals
1.27Coritiba xG
1.36Vasco DA Gama xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Coritiba 1.3 – 1.4 Vasco DA Gama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Coritiba
Vasco DA Gama
Attack vs Serie A average
-20%
+8%
Goals conceded vs average
+18%
+6%
Our expected goals here
1.30
1.47
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vasco DA Gama to win✗
38%
2.64
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.36
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.85
Draw no bet
Vasco DA Gama (draw no bet)
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Coritiba +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.07
First team to score
Vasco DA Gama to score first✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vasco DA Gama / FT Vasco DA Gama✗
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.80
–
Recent results
Coritiba – last 3
WWL
19 Mar
@ Mirassol
1–0
W
12 Mar
@ Corinthians
2–0
W
25 Feb
vs Sao Paulo
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Vasco DA Gama – last 5
WDWLL
19 Mar
vs Fluminense
3–2
W
16 Mar
@ Cruzeiro
3–3
D
12 Mar
vs Palmeiras
2–1
W
26 Feb
@ Santos
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Fluminense
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Coritiba and Vasco DA Gama.
What is the prediction for Coritiba vs Vasco DA Gama?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Coritiba vs Vasco DA Gama?
On our numbers Coritiba have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Vasco DA Gama 38%.
How many goals will there be in Coritiba vs Vasco DA Gama?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Coritiba vs Vasco DA Gama?
Our predicted score is Coritiba 1–1 Vasco DA Gama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Coritiba vs Vasco DA Gama?
Coritiba vs Vasco DA Gama (Serie A) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
