Cruzeiro vs Vitoria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Vitoria travel to face Cruzeiro on Thursday 2 April in the Serie A, with Governador Magalhães Pinto the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Cruzeiro are 3rd, among the top four, on 60 points after 34 matches; Vitoria are 15th (lower half) with 38. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Cruzeiro, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Atletico Paranaense, away. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Vitoria, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Botafogo PB, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cruzeiro 2.1 xG, Vitoria 0.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cruzeiro 67%, draw 21%, Vitoria 12%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.05.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cruzeiro 2–0 Vitoria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cruzeiro67%fair 1.49 · @1.56
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.65
Vitoria12%fair 8.40 · @6.40
2.85Expected goals
2.11Cruzeiro xG
0.74Vitoria xG
51%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Cruzeiro 2.1 – 0.7 Vitoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cruzeiro
Vitoria
Attack vs Serie A average
+35%
-32%
Goals conceded vs average
-1%
+16%
Our expected goals here
2.39
0.77
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cruzeiro to win✓
67%
1.49
1.56
Double chance
Cruzeiro or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
2.05
Draw no bet
Cruzeiro (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Cruzeiro -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.08
First team to score
Cruzeiro to score first✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Cruzeiro ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cruzeiro / FT Cruzeiro✓
45%
2.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.50
–
Recent results
Cruzeiro – last 5
LDLDW
18 Mar
@ Atletico Paranaense
1–2
L
16 Mar
vs Vasco DA Gama
3–3
D
12 Mar
@ Flamengo
0–2
L
26 Feb
vs Corinthians
1–1
D
14 Feb
@ Uniao Trabalhadores
2–1
W
1.4Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Vitoria – last 5
LLDWW
25 Mar
vs Botafogo PB
1–2
L
19 Mar
@ Gremio
0–2
L
12 Mar
@ Bahia
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Galícia
3–0
W
18 Feb
vs Bahia de Feira
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cruzeiro and Vitoria.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Cruzeiro vs Vitoria?
On our numbers Cruzeiro have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Vitoria 12%.
How many goals will there be in Cruzeiro vs Vitoria?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruzeiro vs Vitoria?
Our predicted score is Cruzeiro 2–0 Vitoria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Cruzeiro vs Vitoria?
Cruzeiro vs Vitoria (Serie A) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Governador Magalhães Pinto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
